China Super League
·
Full time
·Matchday 29
Sichuan Jiuniu
vs
Shanghai Shenhua
2 – 1 Full time
| 15′ | Wu XiWang Haijian | ||
| 45′ | J. Teixeira | ||
| 46′ | Dai Wai-Tsun | ||
| 64′ | Jiang ShenglongYang Shuai | ||
| 64′ | Yang Shuai | ||
| 64′ | Xie PengfeiXu Haoyang | ||
| 76′ | H. ShenYu Rui | ||
| 80′ | W. Manafa | ||
| 83′ | Z. XuanLi Long | ||
| 83′ | Yang ZexiangWang Shilong | ||
| 83′ | Jin ShunkaiLi Songyi | ||
| 90′ | Wesley Moraes | ||
| 90′ | A. AdemiYao Junsheng | ||
| 90′ | Dai Wai-TsunLi Ning | ||
| 90′ | D. Owusu-Sekyere | ||
| 90′ | Yu Rui |
Sichuan Jiuniu
27%
Draw
23%
Shanghai Shenhua
50%
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 20 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 36 | Possession % | 64 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 200 | Accurate passes | 393 |
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua
| Probability | Sichuan Jiuniu | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.6% | 20.4% | 53.0% |
| Market | 26.9% | 24.0% | 49.2% |
| Final | 26.8% | 23.1% | 50.1% |
| Edge | -0.1% | -0.9% | +1.0% |
Why Shanghai Shenhua
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.46 vs 1.75.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
93%
3+ goals
79%
No goals
2%
Sichuan Jiuniu and Shanghai Shenhua expected goals
Sichuan Jiuniu
1.75
Shanghai Shenhua
2.46
Total expected goals: 4.21
Sichuan Jiuniu and Shanghai Shenhua attack and defence ratings
Sichuan Jiuniu
Attack
0.88 -12%
Defence
1.13 +13%
Shanghai Shenhua
Attack
1.58 +58%
Defence
1.11 +11%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua: result vs prediction
Sichuan Jiuniu 2 – 1 Shanghai Shenhua
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG
- Henan Jianye v Beijing Guoan — match page
- Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing — team news & stats
- Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown
- Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng — team news & stats
- Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun
- Chongqing Tongliang Long v Qingdao Jonoon — match page
Before and after this match
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shanghai Shenhua | 50.1% | 1.99 | +1.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 26.8% |
| Draw | 23.1% | |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 50.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 20.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.2% |
| No | 23.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 49.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shanghai Shenhua win | 34.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 47.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 7.9% |
| 1-1 | 7.0% | |
| 2-2 | 6.9% |
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua stats
Sichuan Jiuniu and Shanghai Shenhua recent form
| Sichuan Jiuniu |
LDDLDW |
| Shanghai Shenhua |
WWWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sichuan Jiuniu and Shanghai Shenhua going into this match
Sichuan Jiuniu record
- They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Shanghai Shenhua record
- They have won 14 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
2Sichuan Jiuniu wins
2Draws
2Shanghai Shenhua wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Shanghai Shenhua | Sichuan Jiuniu | China Super League | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-31 | Shanghai Shenhua | Sichuan Jiuniu | China Super League | 1-0 |
| 2025-06-14 | Sichuan Jiuniu | Shanghai Shenhua | China Super League | 3-1 |
| 2024-10-27 | Shanghai Shenhua | Sichuan Jiuniu | Super League | 2-2 |
| 2024-07-17 | Sichuan Jiuniu | Shanghai Shenhua | FA Cup | 0-0 |
| 2024-05-26 | Sichuan Jiuniu | Shanghai Shenhua | Super League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.1%, draw 23.9%, away 49.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.60 | 4.02 | 1.92 |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 3.80 | 1.90 |
| BetVictor | 3.30 | 3.90 | 1.87 |
| Betano | 3.40 | 3.85 | 1.91 |
| Betfair | 3.40 | 4.00 | 1.90 |
| Dafabet | 3.55 | 4.00 | 1.95 |
| Marathonbet | 3.48 | 3.88 | 1.85 |
| Pinnacle | 3.51 | 4.05 | 1.86 |
| SBO | 2.89 | 3.34 | 1.87 |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 3.75 | 1.91 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.48 ▲ +0.14
X
3.90 ▼ -0.03
2
1.90 ▼ -0.04
8 snapshots recorded, from .