Sichuan Jiuniu
vs
Shanghai Shenhua
Garuda Lions Prediction: Shanghai Shenhua
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua
| Probability | Sichuan Jiuniu | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.8% | 20.6% | 50.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 28.8% | 20.6% | 50.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Shanghai Shenhua
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.42 vs 1.84.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua match preview
Sichuan Jiuniu faces Shanghai Shenhua in the China Super League, with kickoff set for October 24, 2026. According to our model, the probabilities for the match outcome show Sichuan Jiuniu at 32%, a draw at 21%, and Shanghai Shenhua leading at 46%. The expected goals for Sichuan Jiuniu is 1.87, while Shanghai Shenhua is projected at 2.24. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring with an 8% probability.
Recent form indicates Sichuan Jiuniu has recorded two draws, one win, and two losses in their last five matches, while Shanghai Shenhua has a stronger record with four wins and one loss. Additionally, our model suggests a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 78% and both teams scoring at 76%. The confidence grade for this matchup stands at C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sichuan Jiuniu and Shanghai Shenhua expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.26
Sichuan Jiuniu and Shanghai Shenhua attack and defence ratings
Sichuan Jiuniu
Shanghai Shenhua
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG
- Henan Jianye v Beijing Guoan — match page
- Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing — team news & stats
- Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown
- Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng — team news & stats
- Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun
- Chongqing Tongliang Long v Qingdao Jonoon — match page
Before and after this match
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shanghai Shenhua | 50.6% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.2% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.4% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 28.8% |
| Draw | 20.6% | |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 50.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 20.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.2% |
| No | 22.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 49.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shanghai Shenhua win | 31.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 49.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 7.6% |
| 2-2 | 7.0% | |
| 1-1 | 6.9% |
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua stats
Sichuan Jiuniu and Shanghai Shenhua recent form
| Sichuan Jiuniu |
LDDLDW |
| Shanghai Shenhua |
WWLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sichuan Jiuniu and Shanghai Shenhua season so far
Sichuan Jiuniu record
- They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Shanghai Shenhua record
- They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.9 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Shanghai Shenhua | Sichuan Jiuniu | China Super League | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-31 | Shanghai Shenhua | Sichuan Jiuniu | China Super League | 1-0 |
| 2025-06-14 | Sichuan Jiuniu | Shanghai Shenhua | China Super League | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.