Shenyang Urban
vs
Hangzhou Greentown
Garuda Lions Prediction: Shenyang Urban
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown
| Probability | Shenyang Urban | Draw | Hangzhou Greentown |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.9% | 19.8% | 26.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 53.9% | 19.8% | 26.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Shenyang Urban
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.56 vs 1.80.
Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown match preview
In the upcoming match between Shenyang Urban and Hangzhou Greentown, the probabilities indicate a competitive encounter, with Hangzhou Greentown favored at 46%, compared to Shenyang Urban's 32%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, occurring at an 8% probability. Both teams are expected to contribute to an exciting match, with over 2.5 goals anticipated at 78% and both teams to score at 76%.
Recent form shows Shenyang Urban struggling with a record of D-L-L-L-D-L, while Hangzhou Greentown has had mixed results, with L-W-L-W-D-L. The expected goals for the match are 1.88 for Shenyang Urban and 2.24 for Hangzhou Greentown, suggesting a slight edge for the visitors in offensive capability.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Shenyang Urban and Hangzhou Greentown expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.35
Shenyang Urban and Hangzhou Greentown attack and defence ratings
Shenyang Urban
Hangzhou Greentown
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG
- Henan Jianye v Beijing Guoan — match page
- Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing — team news & stats
- Sichuan Jiuniu v Shanghai Shenhua — match page
- Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng — team news & stats
- Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun
- Chongqing Tongliang Long v Qingdao Jonoon — match page
Before and after this match
Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shenyang Urban | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shenyang Urban | 53.9% |
| Draw | 19.8% | |
| Hangzhou Greentown | 26.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 19.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.5% |
| No | 22.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shenyang Urban win | 35.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.8% | |
| Loss | 46.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.6% |
| 2-2 | 6.8% | |
| 1-1 | 6.5% |
Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown stats
Shenyang Urban and Hangzhou Greentown recent form
| Shenyang Urban |
WDLLLD |
| Hangzhou Greentown |
LLWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shenyang Urban and Hangzhou Greentown season so far
Shenyang Urban record
- They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hangzhou Greentown record
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 8 penalties (75%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Hangzhou Greentown | Shenyang Urban | China Super League | 0-5 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.