China Super League · Full time ·Matchday 29

Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown

2 – 4 Full time

28′Jeffinho
40′Tao Qianglong
45′Pan Ximing
45′A. Mitrita
55′Tao QianglongFelippe Cardoso
57′Yuan MinchengPang Shenghan
57′Gao JiarunG. Mbenza
61′Felippe Cardoso
66′Tian DeaoYan Dinghao
66′Tian YinongLi Tixiang
68′G. Mbenza
79′Sun GuowenWang Shiqin
79′Tong LeiA. Zhang
85′JeffinhoTian Yuda
86′Y. Wang
90′Y. WangFang Hao
90′Bao ShengxinA. N'Doumbou

Olympic Sports Centre Stadium, Shenyang

Shenyang Urban 50%
Draw 22%
Hangzhou Greentown 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 8
51 Possession % 49
1 Corners 0
9 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 2
4 Saves 3
359 Accurate passes 339

Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityShenyang UrbanDrawHangzhou Greentown
Model53.9%19.8%26.2%
Market48.2%22.7%29.1%
Final49.6%22.0%28.4%
Edge+1.4%-0.7%-0.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Shenyang Urban

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.56 vs 1.80.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Shenyang Urban ↓ / Hangzhou Green → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 5% 2 4% 8% 7% 4% 3 6% 6% 4+ 4% 8% 7% 4%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 94%
3+ goals 81%
No goals 2%

Shenyang Urban and Hangzhou Greentown expected goals

Shenyang Urban 2.56
Hangzhou Greentown 1.80

Total expected goals: 4.36

Shenyang Urban and Hangzhou Greentown attack and defence ratings

Shenyang Urban

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Hangzhou Greentown

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 1.38 +38%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown: result vs prediction

Shenyang Urban 2 – 4 Hangzhou Greentown

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 29 fixtures

China Super League

Before and after this match

Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Shenyang Urban 49.6% 2.01 +1.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 81.0% 1.24 — —
Both teams to score Yes 77.6% 1.29 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 78.0% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.1% 2.17 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Shenyang Urban49.6%
Draw22.0%
Hangzhou Greentown28.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.581.0%
Under 2.519.0%
Both teams to scoreYes77.6%
No22.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.6%
12 (either side)78.0%
X2 (draw or away)50.4%
Handicap -1Shenyang Urban win35.1%
Push (exactly one goal)18.8%
Loss46.1%
Correct score (top 3)2-17.5%
2-26.8%
1-16.5%

Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown stats

Shenyang Urban and Hangzhou Greentown recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Shenyang Urban and Hangzhou Greentown going into this match

league record before kick-off

Shenyang Urban record

  • They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Hangzhou Greentown record

  • They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 8 penalties (75%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Shenyang Urban wins 1Draws 3Hangzhou Greentown wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-24Hangzhou GreentownShenyang UrbanChina Super League0-5
2021-09-20Hangzhou GreentownShenyang UrbanLeague One1-0
2021-09-03Shenyang UrbanHangzhou GreentownLeague One2-2
2020-10-15Shenyang UrbanHangzhou GreentownLeague One1-5
2020-09-27Hangzhou GreentownShenyang UrbanLeague One1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.9%, draw 22.7%, away 29.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.00 4.24 3.21
Bet365 1.91 4.00 3.40
BetVictor 1.90 4.20 3.00
Betano 1.93 4.05 3.20
Betfair 1.91 4.00 3.25
Dafabet 1.97 4.30 3.35
Marathonbet 1.93 4.10 3.10
Pinnacle 1.95 4.28 3.10
SBO 1.86 3.57 2.76
William Hill 1.95 3.90 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.93 ▼ -0.20
X 4.10 ▲ +0.24
2 3.20 ▲ +0.25

12 snapshots recorded, from .