China Super League · Full time ·Matchday 30

SHANGHAI SIPG vs Shenyang Urban

6 – 1 Full time

Pudong Football Stadium, ShanghaiReferee: Yunkun Ma, China

SHANGHAI SIPG 73%
Draw 16%
Shenyang Urban 11%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

SHANGHAI SIPG vs Shenyang Urban overview

Garuda Lions analysis: SHANGHAI SIPG vs Shenyang Urban

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySHANGHAI SIPGDrawShenyang Urban
Model72.3%16.6%11.1%
Market73.3%15.8%11.0%
Final73.0%16.0%11.0%
Edge-0.2%+0.2%+0.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why SHANGHAI SIPG

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.73 vs 1.03.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

SHANGHAI SIPG ↓ / Shenyang Urban → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 7% 2 9% 9% 3 8% 8% 4+ 10% 11% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 72%
No goals 3%

SHANGHAI SIPG and Shenyang Urban expected goals

SHANGHAI SIPG 2.73
Shenyang Urban 1.03

Total expected goals: 3.76

SHANGHAI SIPG and Shenyang Urban attack and defence ratings

SHANGHAI SIPG

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 0.73 -27%

Shenyang Urban

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

SHANGHAI SIPG vs Shenyang Urban: result vs prediction

SHANGHAI SIPG 6 – 1 Shenyang Urban

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 30 fixtures

China Super League

Before and after this match

SHANGHAI SIPG vs Shenyang Urban markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 SHANGHAI SIPG 73.0% 1.37 -0.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 72.4% 1.38 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.8% 1.64 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 89.0% 1.12 — —
Handicap -1 SHANGHAI SIPG win 52.3% 1.91 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2SHANGHAI SIPG73.0%
Draw16.0%
Shenyang Urban11.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.572.4%
Under 2.527.6%
Both teams to scoreYes60.8%
No39.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)89.0%
12 (either side)84.0%
X2 (draw or away)27.0%
Handicap -1SHANGHAI SIPG win52.3%
Push (exactly one goal)20.0%
Loss27.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.9%
2-08.7%
3-18.1%

SHANGHAI SIPG vs Shenyang Urban stats

SHANGHAI SIPG and Shenyang Urban recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

SHANGHAI SIPG and Shenyang Urban going into this match

league record before kick-off

SHANGHAI SIPG record

  • They have won 13 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 29 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).

Shenyang Urban record

  • They have won 8 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

SHANGHAI SIPG vs Shenyang Urban head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0SHANGHAI SIPG wins 0Draws 1Shenyang Urban wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-29Shenyang UrbanSHANGHAI SIPGChina Super League3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

SHANGHAI SIPG vs Shenyang Urban odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 73.3%, draw 15.8%, away 11.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.29 6.25 9.10
Bet365 1.27 6.00 9.00
BetVictor 1.25 5.75 8.50
Betano 1.29 5.60 7.80
Betfair 1.25 6.00 8.00
Dafabet 1.30 6.40 8.60
Marathonbet 1.26 5.75 8.40
Pinnacle 1.28 6.36 8.41
SBO 1.24 4.94 6.09
William Hill 1.25 5.50 8.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.27 ▲ +0.01
X 5.88 ▲ +0.08
2 8.46 ▼ -0.45

12 snapshots recorded, from .