China Super League
·
Full time
·Matchday 30
Hangzhou Greentown
vs
Henan Jianye
4 – 0 Full time
Hangzhou Greentown
51%
Draw
22%
Henan Jianye
28%
Hangzhou Greentown vs Henan Jianye overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hangzhou Greentown vs Henan Jianye
| Probability | Hangzhou Greentown | Draw | Henan Jianye |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.9% | 19.2% | 23.9% |
| Market | 48.8% | 22.4% | 28.9% |
| Final | 50.8% | 21.6% | 27.6% |
| Edge | +2.0% | -0.8% | -1.2% |
Why Hangzhou Greentown
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.66 vs 1.74.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Hangzhou Greentown below our published probability: +2.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
94%
3+ goals
81%
No goals
2%
Hangzhou Greentown and Henan Jianye expected goals
Hangzhou Greentown
2.66
Henan Jianye
1.74
Total expected goals: 4.40
Hangzhou Greentown and Henan Jianye attack and defence ratings
Hangzhou Greentown
Attack
1.34 +34%
Defence
1.32 +32%
Henan Jianye
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
1.11 +11%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Hangzhou Greentown vs Henan Jianye: result vs prediction
Hangzhou Greentown 4 – 0 Henan Jianye
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
- Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long — team news & stats
- Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Youth Island
- SHANGHAI SIPG v Shenyang Urban — match page
- Shandong Luneng vs Chengdu Better City — team news & stats
- Qingdao Jonoon v Sichuan Jiuniu — match page
- Dalian Zhixing vs Tianjin Teda — team news & stats
- Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns
Before and after this match
Hangzhou Greentown vs Henan Jianye markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hangzhou Greentown | 50.8% | 1.97 | +2.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.2% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hangzhou Greentown | 50.8% |
| Draw | 21.6% | |
| Henan Jianye | 27.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 18.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.2% |
| No | 22.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hangzhou Greentown win | 38.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 43.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.6% |
| 3-1 | 6.7% | |
| 2-2 | 6.6% |
Hangzhou Greentown vs Henan Jianye stats
Hangzhou Greentown and Henan Jianye recent form
| Hangzhou Greentown |
WLLWLW |
| Henan Jianye |
LLDDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hangzhou Greentown and Henan Jianye going into this match
Hangzhou Greentown record
- They have won 11 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 8 penalties (75%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Henan Jianye record
- They have won 8 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hangzhou Greentown vs Henan Jianye head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Hangzhou Greentown wins
3Draws
4Henan Jianye wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Henan Jianye | Hangzhou Greentown | China Super League | 0-2 |
| 2025-10-25 | Henan Jianye | Hangzhou Greentown | China Super League | 2-2 |
| 2025-06-22 | Henan Jianye | Hangzhou Greentown | FA Cup | 3-2 |
| 2025-05-16 | Hangzhou Greentown | Henan Jianye | China Super League | 2-2 |
| 2024-07-21 | Henan Jianye | Hangzhou Greentown | Super League | 2-1 |
| 2024-04-30 | Hangzhou Greentown | Henan Jianye | Super League | 4-1 |
| 2023-09-30 | Hangzhou Greentown | Henan Jianye | Super League | 3-0 |
| 2023-06-09 | Henan Jianye | Hangzhou Greentown | Super League | 2-2 |
| 2022-07-03 | Hangzhou Greentown | Henan Jianye | Super League | 0-1 |
| 2022-06-11 | Henan Jianye | Hangzhou Greentown | Super League | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Hangzhou Greentown vs Henan Jianye odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.8%, draw 22.4%, away 28.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.95 | 4.24 | 3.36 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 4.33 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 4.10 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 4.05 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 4.20 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 1.98 | 4.30 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.88 | 4.10 | 3.24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 4.38 | 3.37 |
| SBO | 1.84 | 3.66 | 2.78 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.90 | 3.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.90 ▼ -0.12
X
4.15 ▲ +0.10
2
3.22 ▲ +0.32
12 snapshots recorded, from .