Dalian Zhixing
vs
Tianjin Teda
3 – 1 Full time
Dalian Zhixing vs Tianjin Teda overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dalian Zhixing vs Tianjin Teda
| Probability | Dalian Zhixing | Draw | Tianjin Teda |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.0% | 29.6% | 21.4% |
| Market | 68.7% | 19.4% | 11.9% |
| Final | 63.8% | 22.0% | 14.2% |
| Edge | -4.9% | +2.5% | +2.4% |
Why Dalian Zhixing
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.42 vs 0.86.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dalian Zhixing and Tianjin Teda expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.28
Dalian Zhixing and Tianjin Teda attack and defence ratings
Dalian Zhixing
Tianjin Teda
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Dalian Zhixing vs Tianjin Teda: result vs prediction
Dalian Zhixing 3 – 1 Tianjin Teda
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
- Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long — team news & stats
- Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Youth Island
- SHANGHAI SIPG v Shenyang Urban — match page
- Shandong Luneng vs Chengdu Better City — team news & stats
- Hangzhou Greentown vs Henan Jianye
- Qingdao Jonoon v Sichuan Jiuniu — match page
- Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns
Before and after this match
Dalian Zhixing vs Tianjin Teda markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dalian Zhixing | 63.8% | 1.57 | -4.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dalian Zhixing | 63.8% |
| Draw | 22.0% | |
| Tianjin Teda | 14.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.9% |
| No | 55.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dalian Zhixing win | 24.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 51.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 1-0 | 13.3% | |
| 0-0 | 11.5% |
Dalian Zhixing vs Tianjin Teda stats
Dalian Zhixing and Tianjin Teda recent form
| Dalian Zhixing |
WWWWDW |
| Tianjin Teda |
LWWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dalian Zhixing and Tianjin Teda going into this match
Dalian Zhixing record
- They have won 15 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tianjin Teda record
- They have won 11 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dalian Zhixing vs Tianjin Teda head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Tianjin Teda | Dalian Zhixing | China Super League | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Tianjin Teda | Dalian Zhixing | China Super League | 2-0 |
| 2025-04-12 | Dalian Zhixing | Tianjin Teda | China Super League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Dalian Zhixing vs Tianjin Teda odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 68.7%, draw 19.4%, away 11.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.38 | 4.93 | 8.15 |
| Bet365 | 1.38 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 4.60 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.37 | 4.60 | 7.50 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.39 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.35 | 4.65 | 7.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.35 | 4.98 | 8.23 |
| SBO | 1.31 | 4.01 | 6.18 |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 4.50 | 7.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .