Tianjin Teda
vs
SHANGHAI SIPG
Garuda Lions Prediction: Tianjin Teda
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG
| Probability | Tianjin Teda | Draw | SHANGHAI SIPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.8% | 31.7% | 25.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 42.8% | 31.7% | 25.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Tianjin Teda
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.24 vs 0.89.
Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG match preview
Tianjin Teda hosts SHANGHAI SIPG in a China Super League matchup with both teams displaying contrasting recent forms. Tianjin Teda comes off a strong run with four wins and two draws in their last six matches, while SHANGHAI SIPG has also performed well, recording four wins and two draws in the same timeframe. According to our model, Tianjin Teda has a 43% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-0 at 13%.
In terms of expected goals, Tianjin Teda is projected to score 1.24, while SHANGHAI SIPG is forecasted to net 0.89. The probability of both teams scoring stands at 43%, and there is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match. The head-to-head record shows Tianjin Teda has not won against SHANGHAI SIPG in their last three encounters, with two draws and one win for the visitors.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tianjin Teda and SHANGHAI SIPG expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.13
Tianjin Teda and SHANGHAI SIPG attack and defence ratings
Tianjin Teda
SHANGHAI SIPG
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Henan Jianye v Beijing Guoan — match page
- Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing — team news & stats
- Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown
- Sichuan Jiuniu v Shanghai Shenhua — match page
- Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng — team news & stats
- Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun
- Chongqing Tongliang Long v Qingdao Jonoon — match page
Before and after this match
Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tianjin Teda | 42.8% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tianjin Teda | 42.8% |
| Draw | 31.7% | |
| SHANGHAI SIPG | 25.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.2% |
| No | 56.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tianjin Teda win | 19.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 57.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-0 | 13.4% | |
| 0-0 | 13.2% |
Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG stats
Tianjin Teda and SHANGHAI SIPG recent form
| Tianjin Teda |
WWWWDD |
| SHANGHAI SIPG |
WDWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tianjin Teda and SHANGHAI SIPG season so far
Tianjin Teda record
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SHANGHAI SIPG record
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | SHANGHAI SIPG | Tianjin Teda | China Super League | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-24 | SHANGHAI SIPG | Tianjin Teda | China Super League | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-16 | Tianjin Teda | SHANGHAI SIPG | China Super League | 1-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.