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China Super League · Full time ·Matchday 29

Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG

1 – 3 Full time

19′Xie Weijun
36′C. Salvador
42′A. Yang
45′P. O. Ampem
53′Leonardo
56′Yue Xin
58′Yu Genwei
61′Huang JiahuiJi Shengpan
61′Xie WeijunChen Zhexuan
62′Liu Zhurun
65′Ba DunWu Xinghan
67′P. O. AmpemLi Shuai
70′Wei Zhen
72′Leonardo
73′Sun Ming-Him
74′Liu ZhurunKuai Jiwen
74′O. MelendoZhang Yuan
80′Guilherme SchettineWang Qiuming
80′C. SalvadorJ. Liu
87′Leonardo
88′LeonardoX. Li
88′Mateus VitalWang Shenchao

Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Tianjin

Tianjin Teda 35%
Draw 28%
SHANGHAI SIPG 37%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 5
45 Possession % 55
3 Corners 5
10 Fouls 7
3 Offsides 4
2 Saves 4
286 Accurate passes 400

Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTianjin TedaDrawSHANGHAI SIPG
Model38.7%32.3%28.9%
Market33.9%26.9%39.2%
Final35.1%28.3%36.6%
Edge+1.2%+1.3%-2.6%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Tianjin Teda ↓ / SHANGHAI SIPG → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 10% 1 13% 15% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 64%
3+ goals 35%
No goals 13%

Tianjin Teda and SHANGHAI SIPG expected goals

Tianjin Teda 1.15
SHANGHAI SIPG 0.96

Total expected goals: 2.11

Tianjin Teda and SHANGHAI SIPG attack and defence ratings

Tianjin Teda

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 0.60 -40%

SHANGHAI SIPG

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 0.73 -27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG: result vs prediction

Tianjin Teda 1 – 3 SHANGHAI SIPG

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 29 fixtures

China Super League

Before and after this match

Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 SHANGHAI SIPG 36.6% 2.73 -2.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.6% 1.55 — —
Both teams to score No 56.4% 1.77 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.7% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 71.1% 1.41 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Tianjin Teda35.1%
Draw28.3%
SHANGHAI SIPG36.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535.4%
Under 2.564.6%
Both teams to scoreYes43.6%
No56.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.4%
12 (either side)71.7%
X2 (draw or away)64.9%
Handicap -1SHANGHAI SIPG win10.9%
Push (exactly one goal)18.0%
Loss71.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.7%
0-013.4%
1-012.6%

Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG stats

Tianjin Teda and SHANGHAI SIPG recent form

newest first
Tianjin Teda WWWWDD
SHANGHAI SIPG WWDWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Tianjin Teda and SHANGHAI SIPG going into this match

league record before kick-off

Tianjin Teda record

  • They have won 11 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

SHANGHAI SIPG record

  • They have won 12 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).

Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Tianjin Teda wins 4Draws 5SHANGHAI SIPG wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-23SHANGHAI SIPGTianjin TedaChina Super League1-1
2025-08-24SHANGHAI SIPGTianjin TedaChina Super League1-1
2025-04-16Tianjin TedaSHANGHAI SIPGChina Super League1-4
2024-11-02SHANGHAI SIPGTianjin TedaSuper League5-0
2024-08-22SHANGHAI SIPGTianjin TedaFA Cup3-0
2024-06-14Tianjin TedaSHANGHAI SIPGSuper League0-3
2023-08-03SHANGHAI SIPGTianjin TedaSuper League2-1
2023-07-25Tianjin TedaSHANGHAI SIPGFA Cup0-0
2023-05-06Tianjin TedaSHANGHAI SIPGSuper League0-0
2022-11-26Tianjin TedaSHANGHAI SIPGSuper League1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.0%, draw 27.0%, away 39.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.81 3.50 2.46
Bet365 2.90 3.50 2.30
BetVictor 2.63 3.40 2.38
Betano 2.87 3.40 2.30
Betfair 2.75 3.50 2.30
Dafabet 2.95 3.60 2.37
Marathonbet 2.71 3.38 2.38
Pinnacle 2.69 3.46 2.47
SBO 2.56 3.04 2.16
William Hill 2.70 3.25 2.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.75 ▼ -0.13
X 3.46 —
2 2.38 ▲ +0.08

8 snapshots recorded, from .