Wuhan Three Towns
vs
Shandong Luneng
Garuda Lions Prediction: Shandong Luneng
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng
| Probability | Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Shandong Luneng |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.4% | 25.2% | 40.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 34.4% | 25.2% | 40.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Shandong Luneng
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng match preview
Wuhan Three Towns will face Shandong Luneng in the China Super League, with kickoff scheduled for October 24, 2026. According to our model, Wuhan Three Towns has a 45% probability of winning, while Shandong Luneng stands at 30%, and a draw is estimated at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Wuhan Three Towns, with a 9% chance. The model also indicates a 62% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, Wuhan Three Towns has recorded a series of draws and one win in their last five matches, resulting in a D-L-D-D-W-D record. Conversely, Shandong Luneng has shown slightly better form with two wins, a loss, and two draws, reflected in a D-D-W-L-W-W record. The expected goals for Wuhan Three Towns is 1.77, while Shandong Luneng is at 1.41. In their last three encounters, Wuhan Three Towns has yet to secure a victory, with Shandong Luneng winning twice and one match ending in a draw.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Wuhan Three Towns and Shandong Luneng expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.24
Wuhan Three Towns and Shandong Luneng attack and defence ratings
Wuhan Three Towns
Shandong Luneng
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG
- Henan Jianye v Beijing Guoan — match page
- Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing — team news & stats
- Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown
- Sichuan Jiuniu v Shanghai Shenhua — match page
- Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun
- Chongqing Tongliang Long v Qingdao Jonoon — match page
Before and after this match
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shandong Luneng | 40.4% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wuhan Three Towns | 34.4% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Shandong Luneng | 40.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.3% |
| No | 34.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shandong Luneng win | 21.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 59.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | |
| 2-1 | 7.9% |
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng stats
Wuhan Three Towns and Shandong Luneng recent form
| Wuhan Three Towns |
DLDDWD |
| Shandong Luneng |
WDDWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wuhan Three Towns and Shandong Luneng season so far
Wuhan Three Towns record
- They have won 5 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Shandong Luneng record
- They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Shandong Luneng | Wuhan Three Towns | China Super League | 3-3 |
| 2025-11-22 | Wuhan Three Towns | Shandong Luneng | China Super League | 1-5 |
| 2025-06-25 | Shandong Luneng | Wuhan Three Towns | China Super League | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.