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China Super League · Full time ·Matchday 28

Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown

5 – 0 Full time

17′Xu Junchi
20′Guilherme Madruga
23′M. TolicTong Lei
37′Mijit Mewlan
40′Xie Wenneng
45′V. Qazaishvili
46′Wu WeiCheng Jin
61′Y. LiMemet Imran
61′Mijit MewlanChen Pu
64′Huang Zhengyu
76′Sun GuowenWang Shiqin
78′Xie WennengShi Songchen
78′Huang ZhengyuChen Zeshi
79′V. Qazaishvili
81′Liu Haofan
88′Cheng Jin
89′Peng XiaoYin Jiaxi
90′Cryzan

Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium, JinanReferee: Meng Xiangkun, China

Shandong Luneng 52%
Draw 21%
Hangzhou Greentown 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

21 Shots 16
10 Shots on target 6
50 Possession % 50
2 Corners 6
15 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 3
5 Saves 6
346 Accurate passes 326

Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityShandong LunengDrawHangzhou Greentown
Model44.6%21.8%33.7%
Market54.3%21.3%24.3%
Final51.9%21.4%26.6%
Edge-9.8%+0.4%+9.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Shandong Luneng

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Shandong Lunen ↓ / Hangzhou Green → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 7% 4% 2 4% 8% 7% 5% 3 6% 5% 4+ 5% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 77%
No goals 2%

Shandong Luneng and Hangzhou Greentown expected goals

Shandong Luneng 2.17
Hangzhou Greentown 1.89

Total expected goals: 4.06

Shandong Luneng and Hangzhou Greentown attack and defence ratings

Shandong Luneng

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Hangzhou Greentown

Attack 1.37 +37%
Defence 1.19 +19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown: result vs prediction

Shandong Luneng 5 – 0 Hangzhou Greentown

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 28 fixtures

China Super League

Before and after this match

Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Shandong Luneng 51.9% 1.93 -9.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 77.1% 1.30 — —
Both teams to score Yes 75.9% 1.32 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 78.6% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.6% 1.80 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Shandong Luneng51.9%
Draw21.4%
Hangzhou Greentown26.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.577.1%
Under 2.522.9%
Both teams to scoreYes75.9%
No24.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.4%
12 (either side)78.6%
X2 (draw or away)48.1%
Handicap -1Shandong Luneng win26.2%
Push (exactly one goal)18.2%
Loss55.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-17.8%
2-17.7%
2-27.3%

Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown stats

Shandong Luneng and Hangzhou Greentown recent form

newest first
Shandong Luneng DDWLWW
Hangzhou Greentown LWLWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Shandong Luneng and Hangzhou Greentown going into this match

league record before kick-off

Shandong Luneng record

  • They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).

Hangzhou Greentown record

  • They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 8 penalties (75%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Shandong Luneng wins 2Draws 3Hangzhou Greentown wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-20Hangzhou GreentownShandong LunengChina Super League4-1
2025-10-18Hangzhou GreentownShandong LunengChina Super League2-2
2025-05-10Shandong LunengHangzhou GreentownChina Super League4-2
2024-10-27Hangzhou GreentownShandong LunengSuper League3-3
2024-05-25Shandong LunengHangzhou GreentownSuper League3-0
2023-07-22Hangzhou GreentownShandong LunengSuper League2-1
2023-04-25Shandong LunengHangzhou GreentownSuper League2-1
2023-01-15Hangzhou GreentownShandong LunengFA Cup1-2
2022-06-25Hangzhou GreentownShandong LunengSuper League2-0
2022-06-03Shandong LunengHangzhou GreentownSuper League1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 54.2%, draw 21.4%, away 24.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.75 4.49 3.94
Bet365 1.70 4.20 3.80
BetVictor 1.67 4.33 3.80
Betano 1.72 4.30 3.75
Betfair 1.73 4.50 3.75
Dafabet 1.77 4.50 4.00
Marathonbet 1.69 4.33 3.80
Pinnacle 1.74 4.66 3.94
SBO 1.66 3.73 3.24
William Hill 1.70 4.20 3.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.70 ▼ -0.07
X 4.33 ▲ +0.04
2 3.80 ▲ +0.17

11 snapshots recorded, from .