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China Super League · Full time ·Matchday 28

SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City

3 – 0 Full time

13′Zhang Linpeng
54′O. Melendo
55′Browning Tyias
57′Wang Dongsheng
59′Matheus Jussa
64′Wang DongshengRomulo
78′Y. DongLiao Rongxiang
78′Abduweli BehramWellington Silva
82′Matheus JussaLiao Lisheng
82′Felipe SilvaShuai Weihao
83′Leonardo
85′Liu ZhurunX. Li
89′LeonardoWu Lei
89′Yan Junling
89′Browning TyiasWang Shenchao
90′Li ShuaiYue Xin
90′O. MelendoZhang Yuan
90′X. Li
90′Wu Lei

Pudong Football Stadium, ShanghaiReferee: Jing Wang, China

SHANGHAI SIPG 49%
Draw 24%
Chengdu Better City 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 3
67 Possession % 33
5 Corners 1
15 Fouls 17
2 Offsides 1
3 Saves 3
423 Accurate passes 171

SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City overview

Garuda Lions analysis: SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySHANGHAI SIPGDrawChengdu Better City
Model56.3%25.2%18.4%
Market46.8%24.2%29.0%
Final49.2%24.5%26.3%
Edge+2.4%+0.2%-2.6%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why SHANGHAI SIPG

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 0.94.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices SHANGHAI SIPG below our published probability: +2.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

SHANGHAI SIPG ↓ / Chengdu Better → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 10% 12% 2 10% 10% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 8%

SHANGHAI SIPG and Chengdu Better City expected goals

SHANGHAI SIPG 1.79
Chengdu Better City 0.94

Total expected goals: 2.74

SHANGHAI SIPG and Chengdu Better City attack and defence ratings

SHANGHAI SIPG

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Chengdu Better City

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City: result vs prediction

SHANGHAI SIPG 3 – 0 Chengdu Better City

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 28 fixtures

China Super League

Before and after this match

SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 SHANGHAI SIPG 49.2% 2.03 +2.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.6% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.0% 1.92 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.5% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 43.7% 2.29 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2SHANGHAI SIPG49.2%
Draw24.5%
Chengdu Better City26.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.6%
Under 2.548.4%
Both teams to scoreYes52.0%
No48.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.7%
12 (either side)75.5%
X2 (draw or away)50.8%
Handicap -1SHANGHAI SIPG win32.8%
Push (exactly one goal)23.5%
Loss43.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.0%
1-010.5%
2-010.4%

SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City stats

SHANGHAI SIPG and Chengdu Better City recent form

newest first
SHANGHAI SIPG WDWWDW
Chengdu Better City LDWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

SHANGHAI SIPG and Chengdu Better City going into this match

league record before kick-off

SHANGHAI SIPG record

  • They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).

Chengdu Better City record

  • They have won 15 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
  • They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4SHANGHAI SIPG wins 1Draws 5Chengdu Better City wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-19Chengdu Better CitySHANGHAI SIPGChina Super League0-1
2025-08-30Chengdu Better CitySHANGHAI SIPGChina Super League4-1
2025-04-20SHANGHAI SIPGChengdu Better CityChina Super League1-3
2024-10-18Chengdu Better CitySHANGHAI SIPGSuper League3-1
2024-05-22SHANGHAI SIPGChengdu Better CitySuper League2-0
2023-09-23Chengdu Better CitySHANGHAI SIPGSuper League2-1
2023-06-03SHANGHAI SIPGChengdu Better CitySuper League0-1
2023-01-08Chengdu Better CitySHANGHAI SIPGFA Cup0-4
2023-01-05SHANGHAI SIPGChengdu Better CityFA Cup4-0
2022-12-10Chengdu Better CitySHANGHAI SIPGSuper League0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.8%, draw 24.2%, away 29.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.03 3.99 3.28
Bet365 2.00 3.80 3.10
BetVictor 1.95 3.80 3.20
Betano 1.95 3.80 3.25
Betfair 2.00 4.00 3.20
Dafabet 2.10 3.90 3.25
Marathonbet 1.96 3.85 3.16
Pinnacle 2.04 3.88 3.43
SBO 1.92 3.28 2.83
William Hill 1.95 3.70 3.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.98 ▲ +0.03
X 3.83 ▼ -0.02
2 3.20 ▼ -0.08

13 snapshots recorded, from .