SHANGHAI SIPG
vs
Chengdu Better City
Garuda Lions Prediction: SHANGHAI SIPG
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City
| Probability | SHANGHAI SIPG | Draw | Chengdu Better City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.3% | 25.2% | 18.4% |
| Market | 46.8% | 24.2% | 29.0% |
| Final | 49.2% | 24.5% | 26.3% |
| Edge | +9.5% | +1.0% | -10.5% |
Why SHANGHAI SIPG
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 0.94.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices SHANGHAI SIPG below the model: +9.5 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.10, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City match preview
Shanghai SIPG enters this match with a solid recent form, recording three wins and two draws in their last five games. Their expected goals stand at 1.80, indicating a strong offensive presence. In contrast, Chengdu Better City has struggled recently, with two wins and three losses in their last five matches, and an expected goal count of 0.94, suggesting difficulties in scoring.
According to our model, Shanghai SIPG has a 50% probability of winning, while Chengdu Better City sits at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Shanghai SIPG, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring. Historical head-to-head results show Shanghai SIPG with one win, while Chengdu Better City has claimed victory in two of their last three encounters.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
SHANGHAI SIPG and Chengdu Better City expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.74
SHANGHAI SIPG and Chengdu Better City attack and defence ratings
SHANGHAI SIPG
Chengdu Better City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
- Henan Jianye v Tianjin Teda — match page
- Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu — team news & stats
- Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenyang Urban
- Yunnan Yukun v Chongqing Tongliang Long — match page
- Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown — team news & stats
- Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua
- Beijing Guoan v Qingdao Youth Island — match page
Before and after this match
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 49.2% | 2.03 | +9.5% | 2.10 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 49.2% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| Chengdu Better City | 26.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.0% |
| No | 48.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | SHANGHAI SIPG win | 32.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 43.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 1-0 | 10.5% | |
| 2-0 | 10.4% |
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City stats
SHANGHAI SIPG and Chengdu Better City recent form
| SHANGHAI SIPG |
WDWWDW |
| Chengdu Better City |
LDWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SHANGHAI SIPG and Chengdu Better City season so far
SHANGHAI SIPG record
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
Chengdu Better City record
- They have won 15 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | Chengdu Better City | SHANGHAI SIPG | China Super League | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-30 | Chengdu Better City | SHANGHAI SIPG | China Super League | 4-1 |
| 2025-04-20 | SHANGHAI SIPG | Chengdu Better City | China Super League | 1-3 |
| 2024-10-18 | Chengdu Better City | SHANGHAI SIPG | Super League | 3-1 |
| 2024-05-22 | SHANGHAI SIPG | Chengdu Better City | Super League | 2-0 |
| 2023-09-23 | Chengdu Better City | SHANGHAI SIPG | Super League | 2-1 |
| 2023-06-03 | SHANGHAI SIPG | Chengdu Better City | Super League | 0-1 |
| 2023-01-08 | Chengdu Better City | SHANGHAI SIPG | FA Cup | 0-4 |
| 2023-01-05 | SHANGHAI SIPG | Chengdu Better City | FA Cup | 4-0 |
| 2022-12-10 | Chengdu Better City | SHANGHAI SIPG | Super League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.8%, draw 24.2%, away 29.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.03 | 3.99 | 3.28 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.80 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.75 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.80 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.10 | 3.90 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 1.96 | 3.85 | 3.16 |
| Pinnacle | 2.01 | 3.89 | 3.42 |
| SBO | 1.92 | 3.28 | 2.83 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .