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China Super League · Full time ·Matchday 28

Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua

1 – 3 Full time

2′L. Asue
43′L. Asue
45′Zhu Chenjie
46′Wang JinxianA. Leautey
60′Li Shenyuan
62′J. Cadiz
67′Rafael Ratao
67′Xie PengfeiXu Haoyang
67′Yang ZexiangChan Shinichi
70′Li ShenyuanJ. Xiong
76′Gao TianyiWang Haijian
76′Gustavo SauerLiu Binbin
86′J. TeixeiraJiang Shenglong
86′Zhang XiaobinZheng Haoqian
87′L. AsueHan Jiawen
88′Xu Haofeng
90′Han Jiawen

Wuhan Sports Centre, WuhanReferee: Muhammad Taqi, Singapore

Wuhan Three Towns 36%
Draw 23%
Shanghai Shenhua 41%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 5
47 Possession % 53
5 Corners 3
8 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 1
2 Saves 7
425 Accurate passes 514

Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWuhan Three TownsDrawShanghai Shenhua
Model38.0%21.5%40.5%
Market35.0%23.3%41.7%
Final35.8%22.8%41.4%
Edge+0.8%-0.4%-0.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Shanghai Shenhua

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Wuhan Three To ↓ / Shanghai Shenh → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 7% 5% 4% 2 7% 7% 5% 5% 3 5% 5% 4+ 4% 4%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 93%
3+ goals 79%
No goals 2%

Wuhan Three Towns and Shanghai Shenhua expected goals

Wuhan Three Towns 2.07
Shanghai Shenhua 2.13

Total expected goals: 4.20

Wuhan Three Towns and Shanghai Shenhua attack and defence ratings

Wuhan Three Towns

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Shanghai Shenhua

Attack 1.56 +56%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua: result vs prediction

Wuhan Three Towns 1 – 3 Shanghai Shenhua

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 28 fixtures

China Super League

Before and after this match

Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Shanghai Shenhua 41.4% 2.41 -0.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 79.0% 1.27 — —
Both teams to score Yes 77.7% 1.29 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.2% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.5% 1.68 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Wuhan Three Towns35.8%
Draw22.8%
Shanghai Shenhua41.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.579.0%
Under 2.521.0%
Both teams to scoreYes77.7%
No22.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)58.6%
12 (either side)77.2%
X2 (draw or away)64.2%
Handicap -1Shanghai Shenhua win23.3%
Push (exactly one goal)17.2%
Loss59.5%
Correct score (top 3)2-27.3%
1-17.3%
1-27.0%

Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua stats

Wuhan Three Towns and Shanghai Shenhua recent form

newest first
Wuhan Three Towns DLDDWD
Shanghai Shenhua WWLWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Wuhan Three Towns and Shanghai Shenhua going into this match

league record before kick-off

Wuhan Three Towns record

  • They have won 5 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Shanghai Shenhua record

  • They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

2Wuhan Three Towns wins 3Draws 4Shanghai Shenhua wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-20Shanghai ShenhuaWuhan Three TownsChina Super League2-2
2025-08-31Wuhan Three TownsShanghai ShenhuaChina Super League1-0
2025-04-19Shanghai ShenhuaWuhan Three TownsChina Super League2-0
2024-07-29Wuhan Three TownsShanghai ShenhuaSuper League0-2
2024-04-09Shanghai ShenhuaWuhan Three TownsSuper League4-1
2023-08-13Wuhan Three TownsShanghai ShenhuaSuper League1-2
2023-05-13Shanghai ShenhuaWuhan Three TownsSuper League1-1
2022-07-03Wuhan Three TownsShanghai ShenhuaSuper League4-2
2022-06-12Shanghai ShenhuaWuhan Three TownsSuper League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.8%, draw 23.1%, away 42.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.88 4.01 2.22
Bet365 2.70 3.90 2.25
BetVictor 2.63 3.90 2.20
Betano 2.67 4.00 2.18
Betfair 2.75 4.20 2.15
Dafabet 2.90 4.10 2.20
Marathonbet 2.62 3.95 2.21
Pinnacle 2.65 4.50 2.27
SBO 2.58 3.45 1.99
William Hill 2.50 4.00 2.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.64 ▼ -0.36
X 3.98 ▼ -0.12
2 2.21 ▲ +0.26

13 snapshots recorded, from .