Wuhan Three Towns
vs
Shanghai Shenhua
Garuda Lions Prediction: Shanghai Shenhua
1 – 2 Predicted score · 7% model probability
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua
| Probability | Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.0% | 21.5% | 40.5% |
| Market | 35.2% | 23.5% | 41.3% |
| Final | 35.9% | 23.0% | 41.1% |
| Edge | +2.9% | -2.0% | -0.8% |
Why Shanghai Shenhua
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.29, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua match preview
Wuhan Three Towns faces Shanghai Shenhua in a China Super League matchup with kickoff scheduled for October 18, 2026. According to our model, Wuhan Three Towns has a 32% probability of winning, while Shanghai Shenhua stands at 45%. The most likely scoreline projected is 1-2, with an expected goals tally of 2.07 for Wuhan Three Towns and 2.13 for Shanghai Shenhua.
Recent form shows Wuhan Three Towns with a record of D-L-D-D-W-D, while Shanghai Shenhua has performed better with W-W-L-W-L-W. The model indicates a high likelihood of goals, with an 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 78% probability that both teams will score. The head-to-head results in the last three encounters are evenly matched, with each team recording one win and one draw.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Wuhan Three Towns and Shanghai Shenhua expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.20
Wuhan Three Towns and Shanghai Shenhua attack and defence ratings
Wuhan Three Towns
Shanghai Shenhua
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
- Henan Jianye v Tianjin Teda — match page
- Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu — team news & stats
- Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenyang Urban
- Yunnan Yukun v Chongqing Tongliang Long — match page
- Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown — team news & stats
- Beijing Guoan v Qingdao Youth Island — match page
- SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shanghai Shenhua | 41.1% | 2.43 | -0.8% | 2.29 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wuhan Three Towns | 35.9% |
| Draw | 23.0% | |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 41.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 21.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.7% |
| No | 22.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shanghai Shenhua win | 23.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.2% | |
| Loss | 59.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-2 | 7.3% |
| 1-1 | 7.3% | |
| 1-2 | 7.0% |
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua stats
Wuhan Three Towns and Shanghai Shenhua recent form
| Wuhan Three Towns |
DLDDWD |
| Shanghai Shenhua |
WWLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wuhan Three Towns and Shanghai Shenhua season so far
Wuhan Three Towns record
- They have won 5 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Shanghai Shenhua record
- They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.9 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Shanghai Shenhua | Wuhan Three Towns | China Super League | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-31 | Wuhan Three Towns | Shanghai Shenhua | China Super League | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-19 | Shanghai Shenhua | Wuhan Three Towns | China Super League | 2-0 |
| 2024-07-29 | Wuhan Three Towns | Shanghai Shenhua | Super League | 0-2 |
| 2024-04-09 | Shanghai Shenhua | Wuhan Three Towns | Super League | 4-1 |
| 2023-08-13 | Wuhan Three Towns | Shanghai Shenhua | Super League | 1-2 |
| 2023-05-13 | Shanghai Shenhua | Wuhan Three Towns | Super League | 1-1 |
| 2022-07-03 | Wuhan Three Towns | Shanghai Shenhua | Super League | 4-2 |
| 2022-06-12 | Shanghai Shenhua | Wuhan Three Towns | Super League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.9%, draw 23.2%, away 41.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.72 | 4.10 | 2.29 |
| Bet365 | 2.80 | 3.90 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 2.60 | 3.90 | 2.20 |
| Betano | 2.67 | 4.00 | 2.18 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 4.20 | 2.15 |
| Dafabet | 2.90 | 4.10 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.62 | 3.95 | 2.21 |
| Pinnacle | 2.57 | 4.58 | 2.28 |
| SBO | 2.58 | 3.45 | 1.99 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.80 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .