Shenyang Urban
vs
Wuhan Three Towns
Garuda Lions Prediction: Shenyang Urban
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns
| Probability | Shenyang Urban | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.3% | 24.1% | 39.6% |
| Market | 40.2% | 24.7% | 35.1% |
| Final | 39.2% | 24.5% | 36.2% |
| Edge | -3.9% | -0.5% | +4.4% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.43, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns match preview
Shenyang Urban faces Wuhan Three Towns in the China Super League, with both teams having similar probabilities of winning at 38%. The match is anticipated to be competitive, as indicated by the likelihood of a draw at 24%. The expected goals are closely matched, with Shenyang Urban at 1.72 and Wuhan Three Towns at 1.78, suggesting a potentially tight contest.
Recent form shows Shenyang Urban struggling with six games without a win, while Wuhan Three Towns has had a mixed performance, recording one win in their last six matches. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Shenyang Urban, with a high probability of over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams scoring at 69%. The confidence grade for this matchup is rated as C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Shenyang Urban and Wuhan Three Towns expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.49
Shenyang Urban and Wuhan Three Towns attack and defence ratings
Shenyang Urban
Wuhan Three Towns
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
- Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye — team news & stats
- Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan
- Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG
- Shanghai Shenhua v Yunnan Yukun — match page
- Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda — team news & stats
- Qingdao Youth Island v Dalian Zhixing — match page
- Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng
Before and after this match
Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shenyang Urban | 39.2% | 2.55 | -3.9% | 2.43 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.5% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shenyang Urban | 39.2% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| Wuhan Three Towns | 36.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.1% |
| No | 30.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shenyang Urban win | 18.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.4% | |
| Loss | 63.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.2% |
| 1-2 | 8.3% | |
| 2-1 | 7.9% |
Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns stats
Shenyang Urban and Wuhan Three Towns recent form
| Shenyang Urban |
LLLDLL |
| Wuhan Three Towns |
LDDWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shenyang Urban and Wuhan Three Towns season so far
Shenyang Urban record
- They have won 7 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Wuhan Three Towns record
- They have won 5 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Wuhan Three Towns | Shenyang Urban | China Super League | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.2%, draw 24.7%, away 35.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.37 | 3.88 | 2.73 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.75 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.70 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.70 | 2.65 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.90 | 2.63 |
| Dafabet | 2.41 | 3.80 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.28 | 3.74 | 2.63 |
| Pinnacle | 2.43 | 3.78 | 2.64 |
| SBO | 2.28 | 3.22 | 2.32 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .