China Super League · 2026-10-11T11:35:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 27

Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns

1 – 1 Full time

21′			Li Haoran
28′			Jeffinho
30′			Ming Tian
38′			J. Cadiz
43′			A. Kouame
46′			Li HaoranH. Zhang
61′			J. Xiong
62′			Yuan Mincheng
65′			FelipeG. Mbenza
72′			Wang JinxianA. Leautey
72′			J. XiongLong Wei
78′			Zhang XiaobinLiao Chengjian
81′			D. MawlanniyazGao Jiarun
84′			Adriano Firmino
85′			Chen Binbin
87′			K. BevisLiu Binbin
87′			A. Leautey
87′			Ming TianLi Shenyuan

Olympic Sports Centre Stadium, ShenyangReferee: Nenad Minaković, Serbia

Shenyang Urban

41%

Draw

25%

Wuhan Three Towns

35%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

16	Shots	10
1	Shots on target	2
47	Possession %	53
6	Corners	1
24	Fouls	12
1	Offsides	0
1	Saves	0
270	Accurate passes	326

Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Shenyang Urban	Draw	Wuhan Three Towns
Model	36.5%	24.2%	39.3%
Market	41.9%	24.6%	33.4%
Final	40.6%	24.5%	34.9%
Edge	-1.4%	-0.1%	+1.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

96%

2+ goals

87%

3+ goals

68%

No goals

Shenyang Urban and Wuhan Three Towns expected goals

Shenyang Urban

1.70

Wuhan Three Towns

1.79

Total expected goals: 3.49

Shenyang Urban and Wuhan Three Towns attack and defence ratings

Shenyang Urban

Attack

0.92 -8%

Defence

1.25 +25%

Wuhan Three Towns

Attack

1.03 +3%

Defence

1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns: result vs prediction

Shenyang Urban 1 – 1 Wuhan Three Towns

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 27 fixtures

China Super League

Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye — team news & stats · 2026-10-09
Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan · 2026-10-09
Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG · 2026-10-09
Shanghai Shenhua v Yunnan Yukun — match page · 2026-10-10
Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda — team news & stats · 2026-10-10
Qingdao Youth Island v Dalian Zhixing — match page · 2026-10-11
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng · 2026-10-11

Before and after this match

Shenyang Urban, previous: Tianjin Teda – Shenyang Urban, 2026-09-12
Shenyang Urban, next: Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenyang Urban prediction
Wuhan Three Towns, previous: Hangzhou Greentown vs Wuhan Three Towns prediction
Wuhan Three Towns, next: Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua: odds and pick

Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Shenyang Urban	40.6%	2.47	-1.4%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	67.7%	1.48	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	69.0%	1.45	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	75.5%	1.32	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	63.7%	1.57	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Shenyang Urban	40.6%
	Draw	24.5%
	Wuhan Three Towns	34.9%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	67.7%
	Under 2.5	32.3%
Both teams to score	Yes	69.0%
	No	31.0%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	65.1%
	12 (either side)	75.5%
	X2 (draw or away)	59.4%
Handicap -1	Shenyang Urban win	18.9%
	Push (exactly one goal)	17.4%
	Loss	63.7%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	10.2%
	1-2	8.3%
	2-1	7.9%

Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns stats

Shenyang Urban and Wuhan Three Towns recent form

newest first

Shenyang Urban	LLLDLL
Wuhan Three Towns	LDDWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Shenyang Urban and Wuhan Three Towns going into this match

league record before kick-off

Shenyang Urban record

They have won 7 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
They have failed to score in 10 of 26 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Wuhan Three Towns record

They have won 5 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
They have kept 4 clean sheets in 26 matches.
They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Shenyang Urban wins 1Draws 1Wuhan Three Towns wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-05-16	Wuhan Three Towns	Shenyang Urban	China Super League	2-2
2021-06-05	Wuhan Three Towns	Shenyang Urban	League One	2-3
2021-05-11	Shenyang Urban	Wuhan Three Towns	League One	1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.9%, draw 24.6%, away 33.4%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.28	3.86	2.86
Bet365	2.20	3.90	2.88
BetVictor	2.15	3.70	2.80
Betano	2.22	3.75	2.75
Betfair	2.25	3.90	2.70
Dafabet	2.31	3.85	2.90
Marathonbet	2.20	3.72	2.76
Pinnacle	2.26	3.89	2.95
SBO	2.28	3.23	2.50
William Hill	2.20	3.50	2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.24 ▼ -0.19

X 3.80 ▼ -0.04

2 2.80 ▲ +0.29

13 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-05T08:10:01Z.