Qingdao Youth Island
vs
Dalian Zhixing
Garuda Lions Prediction: Qingdao Youth Island
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing
| Probability | Qingdao Youth Island | Draw | Dalian Zhixing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.3% | 29.7% | 22.0% |
| Market | 35.8% | 28.2% | 35.9% |
| Final | 39.0% | 28.6% | 32.4% |
| Edge | +12.4% | +1.5% | -13.9% |
Why Qingdao Youth Island
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.41 vs 0.87.
- The market prices Qingdao Youth Island below the model: +12.4 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.70, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing match preview
Qingdao Youth Island is set to face Dalian Zhixing in the China Super League, with kickoff scheduled for October 11, 2026. The model gives Qingdao Youth Island a 49% chance of winning, while Dalian Zhixing has a 22% probability of victory, and a draw stands at 30%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Qingdao, with an expected goals tally of 1.42 for Qingdao and 0.87 for Dalian.
In terms of recent form, Qingdao Youth Island has recorded two wins and three draws in their last five matches, while Dalian Zhixing has achieved three wins, one draw, and one loss in the same timeframe. Historically, Qingdao Youth Island has dominated their recent encounters, winning all three of their last meetings against Dalian Zhixing. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate reliability in the model's predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Qingdao Youth Island and Dalian Zhixing expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.28
Qingdao Youth Island and Dalian Zhixing attack and defence ratings
Qingdao Youth Island
Dalian Zhixing
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
- Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye — team news & stats
- Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan
- Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG
- Shanghai Shenhua v Yunnan Yukun — match page
- Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda — team news & stats
- Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns — team news & stats
- Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng
Before and after this match
Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Qingdao Youth Island | 39.0% | 2.57 | +12.4% | 2.70 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Qingdao Youth Island | 39.0% |
| Draw | 28.6% | |
| Dalian Zhixing | 32.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.2% |
| No | 54.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Qingdao Youth Island win | 24.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.0% | |
| Loss | 51.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 1-0 | 13.2% | |
| 0-0 | 11.5% |
Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing stats
Qingdao Youth Island and Dalian Zhixing recent form
| Qingdao Youth Island |
DDWDDW |
| Dalian Zhixing |
WDWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Qingdao Youth Island and Dalian Zhixing season so far
Qingdao Youth Island record
- They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dalian Zhixing record
- They have won 11 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | Dalian Zhixing | Qingdao Youth Island | China Super League | 2-3 |
| 2025-10-04 | Dalian Zhixing | Qingdao Youth Island | China Super League | 0-2 |
| 2025-04-20 | Qingdao Youth Island | Dalian Zhixing | China Super League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.8%, draw 28.2%, away 35.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.65 | 3.36 | 2.68 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.60 | 3.15 | 2.62 |
| Betfair | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.55 |
| Dafabet | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.56 | 3.24 | 2.59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.66 | 3.30 | 2.66 |
| SBO | 2.36 | 2.97 | 2.37 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.10 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .