China Super League · Full time ·Matchday 27

Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing

0 – 4 Full time

7′F. Acheampong
15′F. Acheampong
21′Liao Jintao
32′Bruno Viana
46′Lohman ElnizarHe Longhai
55′Luo JingYang Mingrui
61′Meng JingchaoYang Zhanpeng
68′S. Memisevic
70′F. Acheampong
76′F. Acheampong
78′X. ZhangJia Weiwei
79′Yang Zhanpeng
84′P. DelgadoFeng Jing
85′Liao JintaoZhang Huachen
85′N. StanciuHuang Shan
87′N. Da LuzXie Alexander
87′F. Acheampong
89′Lu ZhuoyiSun Kangbo

Qingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center, QingdaoReferee: Yinhao Shen, China

Qingdao Youth Island 40%
Draw 28%
Dalian Zhixing 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 8
56 Possession % 44
3 Corners 3
12 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 2
3 Saves 2
353 Accurate passes 265

Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityQingdao Youth IslandDrawDalian Zhixing
Model48.4%29.7%21.9%
Market36.8%27.6%35.6%
Final39.7%28.1%32.2%
Edge+2.9%+0.5%-3.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Qingdao Youth Island

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.41 vs 0.87.
  • The market prices Qingdao Youth Island below our published probability: +2.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Qingdao Youth ↓ / Dalian Zhixing → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 8% 1 13% 14% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 40%
No goals 12%

Qingdao Youth Island and Dalian Zhixing expected goals

Qingdao Youth Island 1.41
Dalian Zhixing 0.87

Total expected goals: 2.28

Qingdao Youth Island and Dalian Zhixing attack and defence ratings

Qingdao Youth Island

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.69 -31%

Dalian Zhixing

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing: result vs prediction

Qingdao Youth Island 0 – 4 Dalian Zhixing

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 27 fixtures

China Super League

Before and after this match

Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Qingdao Youth Island 39.7% 2.52 +2.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.2% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score No 54.9% 1.82 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.9% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.6% 1.94 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Qingdao Youth Island39.7%
Draw28.1%
Dalian Zhixing32.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.8%
Under 2.560.2%
Both teams to scoreYes45.1%
No54.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.8%
12 (either side)71.9%
X2 (draw or away)60.3%
Handicap -1Qingdao Youth Island win24.4%
Push (exactly one goal)24.0%
Loss51.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.8%
1-013.2%
0-011.5%

Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing stats

Qingdao Youth Island and Dalian Zhixing recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Qingdao Youth Island and Dalian Zhixing going into this match

league record before kick-off

Qingdao Youth Island record

  • They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).

Dalian Zhixing record

  • They have won 12 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

3Qingdao Youth Island wins 0Draws 0Dalian Zhixing wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-15Dalian ZhixingQingdao Youth IslandChina Super League2-3
2025-10-04Dalian ZhixingQingdao Youth IslandChina Super League0-2
2025-04-20Qingdao Youth IslandDalian ZhixingChina Super League2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.8%, draw 27.6%, away 35.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.65 3.36 2.68
Bet365 2.50 3.60 2.60
BetVictor 2.50 3.40 2.55
Betano 2.60 3.15 2.62
Betfair 2.45 3.50 2.63
Dafabet 2.60 3.50 2.70
Marathonbet 2.56 3.24 2.59
Pinnacle 2.60 3.43 2.76
SBO 2.40 3.08 2.44
William Hill 2.50 3.10 2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.53 ▼ -0.05
X 3.38 ▲ +0.11
2 2.62 ▲ +0.02

11 snapshots recorded, from .