Sichuan Jiuniu
vs
Henan Jianye
2 – 2 Full time
| 16′ | Yu Rui | ||
| 32′ | Shinar Yeljan | ||
| 39′ | T. Chow | ||
| 42′ | Bruno Nazario | ||
| 47′ | Wesley Moraes | ||
| 52′ | Wesley Moraes | ||
| 57′ | Shinar YeljanZhong Yihao | ||
| 57′ | Haliq AblahanA. Abudulam | ||
| 66′ | Zhong Yihao | ||
| 70′ | Z. Xuan | ||
| 74′ | Zheng DalunYang Yilin | ||
| 74′ | Wang ShangyuanYin Congyao | ||
| 76′ | Yin Congyao | ||
| 76′ | Yao JunshengZhang Yufeng | ||
| 85′ | D. Owusu-SekyereLi Long | ||
| 85′ | A. AdemiDai Wai-Tsun | ||
| 90′ | N. MuhmetLiu Yixin |
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 39 | Possession % | 61 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 226 | Accurate passes | 391 |
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye
| Probability | Sichuan Jiuniu | Draw | Henan Jianye |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.9% | 28.4% | 32.6% |
| Market | 33.1% | 26.5% | 40.3% |
| Final | 34.6% | 27.0% | 38.4% |
| Edge | +5.8% | +1.9% | -7.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sichuan Jiuniu and Henan Jianye expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.66
Sichuan Jiuniu and Henan Jianye attack and defence ratings
Sichuan Jiuniu
Henan Jianye
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye: result vs prediction
Sichuan Jiuniu 2 – 2 Henan Jianye
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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- Qingdao Youth Island v Dalian Zhixing — match page
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- Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng
Before and after this match
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Henan Jianye | 38.4% | 2.60 | -7.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 34.6% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Henan Jianye | 38.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.2% |
| No | 44.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Henan Jianye win | 14.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.0% | |
| Loss | 67.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | |
| 1-0 | 8.5% |
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye stats
Sichuan Jiuniu and Henan Jianye recent form
| DLDWLW | |
| DDDDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sichuan Jiuniu and Henan Jianye going into this match
Sichuan Jiuniu record
- They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Henan Jianye record
- They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | Henan Jianye | Sichuan Jiuniu | China Super League | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-08 | Henan Jianye | Sichuan Jiuniu | China Super League | 4-1 |
| 2025-04-05 | Sichuan Jiuniu | Henan Jianye | China Super League | 1-3 |
| 2024-07-13 | Sichuan Jiuniu | Henan Jianye | Super League | 0-0 |
| 2024-04-05 | Henan Jianye | Sichuan Jiuniu | Super League | 0-2 |
| 2021-10-28 | Sichuan Jiuniu | Henan Jianye | FA Cup | 0-0 |
| 2021-10-23 | Henan Jianye | Sichuan Jiuniu | FA Cup | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.1%, draw 26.5%, away 40.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.88 | 3.60 | 2.36 |
| Bet365 | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 2.82 | 3.45 | 2.30 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.70 | 2.25 |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.65 | 2.34 |
| Marathonbet | 2.78 | 3.48 | 2.28 |
| Pinnacle | 2.86 | 3.63 | 2.42 |
| SBO | 2.65 | 3.18 | 2.05 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .