China Super League · Full time ·Matchday 27

Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye

2 – 2 Full time

16′Yu Rui
32′Shinar Yeljan
39′T. Chow
42′Bruno Nazario
47′Wesley Moraes
52′Wesley Moraes
57′Shinar YeljanZhong Yihao
57′Haliq AblahanA. Abudulam
66′Zhong Yihao
70′Z. Xuan
74′Zheng DalunYang Yilin
74′Wang ShangyuanYin Congyao
76′Yin Congyao
76′Yao JunshengZhang Yufeng
85′D. Owusu-SekyereLi Long
85′A. AdemiDai Wai-Tsun
90′N. MuhmetLiu Yixin

Shenzhen Stadium, ShenzhenReferee: Yangfan Zhang, China

Sichuan Jiuniu 35%
Draw 27%
Henan Jianye 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 4
39 Possession % 61
1 Corners 3
15 Fouls 20
2 Offsides 1
2 Saves 1
226 Accurate passes 391

Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySichuan JiuniuDrawHenan Jianye
Model38.9%28.4%32.6%
Market33.1%26.5%40.3%
Final34.6%27.0%38.4%
Edge+5.8%+1.9%-7.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sichuan Jiuniu ↓ / Henan Jianye → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 8% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Sichuan Jiuniu and Henan Jianye expected goals

Sichuan Jiuniu 1.40
Henan Jianye 1.26

Total expected goals: 2.66

Sichuan Jiuniu and Henan Jianye attack and defence ratings

Sichuan Jiuniu

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Henan Jianye

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye: result vs prediction

Sichuan Jiuniu 2 – 2 Henan Jianye

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 27 fixtures

China Super League

Before and after this match

Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Henan Jianye 38.4% 2.60 -7.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.4% 1.99 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.2% 1.81 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.0% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 67.4% 1.48 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sichuan Jiuniu34.6%
Draw27.0%
Henan Jianye38.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.6%
Under 2.550.4%
Both teams to scoreYes55.2%
No44.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.6%
12 (either side)73.0%
X2 (draw or away)65.4%
Handicap -1Henan Jianye win14.6%
Push (exactly one goal)18.0%
Loss67.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.6%
2-18.6%
1-08.5%

Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye stats

Sichuan Jiuniu and Henan Jianye recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sichuan Jiuniu and Henan Jianye going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sichuan Jiuniu record

  • They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

Henan Jianye record

  • They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

1Sichuan Jiuniu wins 3Draws 3Henan Jianye wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-15Henan JianyeSichuan JiuniuChina Super League1-0
2025-08-08Henan JianyeSichuan JiuniuChina Super League4-1
2025-04-05Sichuan JiuniuHenan JianyeChina Super League1-3
2024-07-13Sichuan JiuniuHenan JianyeSuper League0-0
2024-04-05Henan JianyeSichuan JiuniuSuper League0-2
2021-10-28Sichuan JiuniuHenan JianyeFA Cup0-0
2021-10-23Henan JianyeSichuan JiuniuFA Cup1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.1%, draw 26.5%, away 40.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.88 3.60 2.36
Bet365 2.80 3.50 2.25
BetVictor 2.70 3.50 2.30
Betano 2.82 3.45 2.30
Betfair 2.80 3.70 2.25
Dafabet 2.95 3.65 2.34
Marathonbet 2.78 3.48 2.28
Pinnacle 2.86 3.63 2.42
SBO 2.65 3.18 2.05
William Hill 2.75 3.40 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.80 ▼ -0.11
X 3.50 ▼ -0.05
2 2.30 ▲ +0.09

13 snapshots recorded, from .