China Super League
·
Full time
·Matchday 26
Shandong Luneng
vs
Sichuan Jiuniu
1 – 1 Full time
| 1′ | Cryzan | ||
| 29′ | Cryzan | ||
| 45′ | Yiming Yang | ||
| 46′ | Y. LiHuang Zhengyu | ||
| 46′ | Mijit MewlanShi Songchen | ||
| 46′ | Yu RuiYu Menghui | ||
| 54′ | Yang YimingLi Ning | ||
| 59′ | Miao Tang | ||
| 61′ | V. QazaishviliR. Merkies | ||
| 68′ | Dai Wai-Tsun | ||
| 69′ | Chen PuChen Zeshi | ||
| 72′ | Eden Karzev | ||
| 79′ | Xie WennengPeng Xiao | ||
| 88′ | Dai Wai-TsunLi Long | ||
| 88′ | Yao JunshengZhang Yufeng |
Shandong Luneng
58%
Draw
22%
Sichuan Jiuniu
20%
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 29 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 38 | Possession % | 62 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 7 | Saves | 0 |
| 266 | Accurate passes | 510 |
Shandong Luneng vs Sichuan Jiuniu overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shandong Luneng vs Sichuan Jiuniu
| Probability | Shandong Luneng | Draw | Sichuan Jiuniu |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.4% | 22.2% | 20.4% |
| Market | 58.8% | 21.5% | 19.6% |
| Final | 58.5% | 21.7% | 19.8% |
| Edge | -1.5% | +0.6% | +0.8% |
Why Shandong Luneng
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.16 vs 1.24.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
86%
3+ goals
66%
No goals
4%
Shandong Luneng and Sichuan Jiuniu expected goals
Shandong Luneng
2.16
Sichuan Jiuniu
1.24
Total expected goals: 3.40
Shandong Luneng and Sichuan Jiuniu attack and defence ratings
Shandong Luneng
Attack
1.14 +14%
Defence
1.07 +7%
Sichuan Jiuniu
Attack
0.85 -15%
Defence
1.06 +6%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Shandong Luneng vs Sichuan Jiuniu: result vs prediction
Shandong Luneng 1 – 1 Sichuan Jiuniu
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
- Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island — team news & stats
- SHANGHAI SIPG vs Beijing Guoan
- Dalian Zhixing v Qingdao Jonoon — match page
- Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shanghai Shenhua
- Henan Jianye v Chengdu Better City — match page
- Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban — team news & stats
- Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown
Before and after this match
Shandong Luneng vs Sichuan Jiuniu markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shandong Luneng | 58.5% | 1.71 | -1.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.0% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shandong Luneng | 58.5% |
| Draw | 21.7% | |
| Sichuan Jiuniu | 19.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.8% |
| No | 36.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shandong Luneng win | 36.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 42.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 2-0 | 7.8% |
Shandong Luneng vs Sichuan Jiuniu stats
Shandong Luneng and Sichuan Jiuniu recent form
| Shandong Luneng |
WLWWWL |
| Sichuan Jiuniu |
LDWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shandong Luneng and Sichuan Jiuniu going into this match
Shandong Luneng record
- They have won 13 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Sichuan Jiuniu record
- They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Shandong Luneng vs Sichuan Jiuniu head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
5Shandong Luneng wins
0Draws
0Sichuan Jiuniu wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Sichuan Jiuniu | Shandong Luneng | China Super League | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-16 | Sichuan Jiuniu | Shandong Luneng | China Super League | 1-3 |
| 2025-04-11 | Shandong Luneng | Sichuan Jiuniu | China Super League | 4-0 |
| 2024-09-28 | Sichuan Jiuniu | Shandong Luneng | Super League | 1-4 |
| 2024-05-16 | Shandong Luneng | Sichuan Jiuniu | Super League | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Shandong Luneng vs Sichuan Jiuniu odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.8%, draw 21.6%, away 19.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.54 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.62 | 4.46 | 4.89 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 4.33 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 4.33 | 4.75 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 4.15 | 4.55 |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 4.50 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.63 | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.57 | 4.33 | 4.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61 | 4.52 | 5.00 |
| SBO | 1.46 | 3.87 | 4.24 |
| Superbet | 1.59 | 4.30 | 4.50 |
| Unibet | 1.64 | 4.20 | 4.50 |
| William Hill | 1.60 | 4.00 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.58 ▲ +0.03
X
4.33 ▼ -0.07
2
4.75 ▼ -0.18
9 snapshots recorded, from .