Sichuan Jiuniu
vs
SHANGHAI SIPG
0 – 1 Full time
Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG
| Probability | Sichuan Jiuniu | Draw | SHANGHAI SIPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.5% | 25.9% | 39.6% |
| Market | 30.9% | 24.9% | 44.2% |
| Final | 31.8% | 25.1% | 43.0% |
| Edge | +3.5% | +1.0% | -4.6% |
Why SHANGHAI SIPG
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sichuan Jiuniu and SHANGHAI SIPG expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.11
Sichuan Jiuniu and SHANGHAI SIPG attack and defence ratings
Sichuan Jiuniu
SHANGHAI SIPG
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG: result vs prediction
Sichuan Jiuniu 0 – 1 SHANGHAI SIPG
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
- Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Luneng
- Dalian Zhixing v Beijing Guoan — match page
- Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns
- Tianjin Teda v Qingdao Youth Island — match page
- Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun — team news & stats
- Chengdu Better City vs Shenyang Urban
- Henan Jianye v Chongqing Tongliang Long — match page
Before and after this match
Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 43.0% | 2.32 | -4.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 31.8% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| SHANGHAI SIPG | 43.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.2% |
| No | 36.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | SHANGHAI SIPG win | 20.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 60.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | |
| 2-1 | 8.1% |
Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG stats
Sichuan Jiuniu and SHANGHAI SIPG recent form
| Sichuan Jiuniu |
DWLWLL |
| SHANGHAI SIPG |
WDWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sichuan Jiuniu and SHANGHAI SIPG going into this match
Sichuan Jiuniu record
- They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
SHANGHAI SIPG record
- They have won 10 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 25 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | SHANGHAI SIPG | Sichuan Jiuniu | FA Cup | 1-1 |
| 2026-05-06 | SHANGHAI SIPG | Sichuan Jiuniu | China Super League | 1-1 |
| 2025-06-30 | Sichuan Jiuniu | SHANGHAI SIPG | China Super League | 1-2 |
| 2025-02-23 | SHANGHAI SIPG | Sichuan Jiuniu | China Super League | 3-1 |
| 2024-09-13 | SHANGHAI SIPG | Sichuan Jiuniu | Super League | 2-0 |
| 2024-05-05 | Sichuan Jiuniu | SHANGHAI SIPG | Super League | 0-6 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.9%, draw 24.9%, away 44.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.90 | 3.70 | 2.10 |
| 1xBet | 3.03 | 3.92 | 2.16 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.90 | 2.05 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.70 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.12 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 4.00 | 2.10 |
| Dafabet | 3.20 | 3.90 | 2.11 |
| Marathonbet | 2.94 | 3.80 | 2.10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.99 | 3.73 | 2.21 |
| SBO | 2.88 | 3.30 | 1.88 |
| Superbet | 3.10 | 3.70 | 2.05 |
| Unibet | 3.30 | 3.70 | 2.00 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.90 | 2.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .