China Super League · Full time ·Matchday 25

Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island

1 – 1 Full time

Olympic Sports Center Stadium, TianjinReferee: L. Haixin

Tianjin Teda 44%
Draw 29%
Qingdao Youth Island 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTianjin TedaDrawQingdao Youth Island
Model33.3%33.5%33.2%
Market47.8%27.6%24.6%
Final44.2%29.1%26.7%
Edge-14.6%+5.9%+8.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Tianjin Teda ↓ / Qingdao Youth → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 12% 1 12% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 61%
3+ goals 33%
No goals 15%

Tianjin Teda and Qingdao Youth Island expected goals

Tianjin Teda 1.00
Qingdao Youth Island 1.01

Total expected goals: 2.01

Tianjin Teda and Qingdao Youth Island attack and defence ratings

Tianjin Teda

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Qingdao Youth Island

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 0.60 -40%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island: result vs prediction

Tianjin Teda 1 – 1 Qingdao Youth Island

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 25 fixtures

China Super League

Before and after this match

Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Tianjin Teda 44.2% 2.26 -14.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 67.5% 1.48 — —
Both teams to score No 58.5% 1.71 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.3% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 67.0% 1.49 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Tianjin Teda44.2%
Draw29.1%
Qingdao Youth Island26.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.532.5%
Under 2.567.5%
Both teams to scoreYes41.5%
No58.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.3%
12 (either side)70.9%
X2 (draw or away)55.8%
Handicap -1Tianjin Teda win12.9%
Push (exactly one goal)20.0%
Loss67.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.9%
0-014.8%
1-012.1%

Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island stats

Tianjin Teda and Qingdao Youth Island recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Tianjin Teda and Qingdao Youth Island going into this match

league record before kick-off

Tianjin Teda record

  • They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Qingdao Youth Island record

  • They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Tianjin Teda wins 3Draws 0Qingdao Youth Island wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-05Qingdao Youth IslandTianjin TedaChina Super League1-1
2025-08-10Tianjin TedaQingdao Youth IslandChina Super League0-0
2025-04-06Qingdao Youth IslandTianjin TedaChina Super League2-2
2024-07-27Tianjin TedaQingdao Youth IslandSuper League2-1
2024-04-10Qingdao Youth IslandTianjin TedaSuper League1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.8%, draw 27.6%, away 24.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.88 3.30 3.90
1xBet 1.97 3.56 3.86
Bet365 2.00 3.50 3.80
BetVictor 1.95 3.30 3.60
Betano 1.98 3.30 3.70
Betfair 1.95 3.50 3.80
Dafabet 2.01 3.50 3.90
Marathonbet 1.91 3.46 3.75
Pinnacle 1.97 3.38 3.93
SBO 1.92 2.98 3.09
Superbet 1.95 3.35 3.70
Unibet 1.90 3.50 3.90
William Hill 1.91 3.30 3.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.95 ▼ -0.01
X 3.38 ▼ -0.11
2 3.80 ▲ +0.12

12 snapshots recorded, from .