China Super League
·
Full time
·Matchday 25
Chengdu Better City
vs
Shenyang Urban
2 – 1 Full time
Chengdu Better City
66%
Draw
18%
Shenyang Urban
16%
Chengdu Better City vs Shenyang Urban overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chengdu Better City vs Shenyang Urban
| Probability | Chengdu Better City | Draw | Shenyang Urban |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.1% | 22.1% | 27.8% |
| Market | 71.7% | 16.6% | 11.7% |
| Final | 66.3% | 18.0% | 15.7% |
| Edge | -21.6% | +5.5% | +16.2% |
Why Chengdu Better City
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.18 vs 1.62.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
90%
3+ goals
73%
No goals
3%
Chengdu Better City and Shenyang Urban expected goals
Chengdu Better City
2.18
Shenyang Urban
1.62
Total expected goals: 3.80
Chengdu Better City and Shenyang Urban attack and defence ratings
Chengdu Better City
Attack
1.06 +6%
Defence
1.05 +5%
Shenyang Urban
Attack
1.12 +12%
Defence
1.15 +15%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Chengdu Better City vs Shenyang Urban: result vs prediction
Chengdu Better City 2 – 1 Shenyang Urban
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
- Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Luneng
- Dalian Zhixing v Beijing Guoan — match page
- Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG — team news & stats
- Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns
- Tianjin Teda v Qingdao Youth Island — match page
- Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun — team news & stats
- Henan Jianye v Chongqing Tongliang Long — match page
Before and after this match
Chengdu Better City vs Shenyang Urban markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chengdu Better City | 66.3% | 1.51 | -21.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chengdu Better City | 66.3% |
| Draw | 18.0% | |
| Shenyang Urban | 15.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.9% |
| No | 28.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 33.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chengdu Better City win | 30.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 50.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.7% |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | |
| 2-2 | 7.0% |
Chengdu Better City vs Shenyang Urban stats
Chengdu Better City and Shenyang Urban recent form
| Chengdu Better City |
LWLDDD |
| Shenyang Urban |
DLLWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chengdu Better City and Shenyang Urban going into this match
Chengdu Better City record
- They have won 15 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Shenyang Urban record
- They have won 7 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chengdu Better City vs Shenyang Urban head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
3Chengdu Better City wins
0Draws
0Shenyang Urban wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 | Shenyang Urban | Chengdu Better City | China Super League | 0-1 |
| 2021-08-06 | Chengdu Better City | Shenyang Urban | League One | 2-0 |
| 2021-07-17 | Shenyang Urban | Chengdu Better City | League One | 0-6 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Chengdu Better City vs Shenyang Urban odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 71.7%, draw 16.6%, away 11.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.30 | 5.60 | 6.80 |
| 1xBet | 1.31 | 5.99 | 8.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 5.50 | 7.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.29 | 5.25 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.33 | 5.30 | 7.30 |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 6.00 | 8.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.33 | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.28 | 5.65 | 8.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.30 | 5.86 | 7.98 |
| SBO | 1.26 | 4.77 | 5.90 |
| Superbet | 1.31 | 5.50 | 7.00 |
| Unibet | 1.29 | 5.60 | 9.00 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.30 —
X
5.60 ▼ -0.10
2
8.00 —
10 snapshots recorded, from .