Shenyang Urban
vs
Henan Jianye
4 – 4 Full time
Shenyang Urban vs Henan Jianye overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shenyang Urban vs Henan Jianye
| Probability | Shenyang Urban | Draw | Henan Jianye |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.2% | 26.4% | 27.3% |
| Market | 32.8% | 27.1% | 40.1% |
| Final | 36.2% | 26.9% | 36.9% |
| Edge | +13.4% | -0.7% | -12.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Shenyang Urban and Henan Jianye expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.90
Shenyang Urban and Henan Jianye attack and defence ratings
Shenyang Urban
Henan Jianye
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Shenyang Urban vs Henan Jianye: result vs prediction
Shenyang Urban 4 – 4 Henan Jianye
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
Shenyang Urban vs Henan Jianye markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Henan Jianye | 36.9% | 2.71 | -12.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shenyang Urban | 36.2% |
| Draw | 26.9% | |
| Henan Jianye | 36.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.7% |
| No | 41.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Henan Jianye win | 11.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.5% | |
| Loss | 72.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 1-0 | 8.0% |
Shenyang Urban vs Henan Jianye stats
Shenyang Urban and Henan Jianye recent form
| Shenyang Urban |
LLWLDW |
| Henan Jianye |
LDDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shenyang Urban and Henan Jianye going into this match
Shenyang Urban record
- They have won 7 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Henan Jianye record
- They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Shenyang Urban vs Henan Jianye head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Henan Jianye | Shenyang Urban | China Super League | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Shenyang Urban vs Henan Jianye odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.8%, draw 27.1%, away 40.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.90 | 3.46 | 2.42 |
| 888Sport | 2.80 | 3.25 | 2.30 |
| Bet365 | 2.80 | 3.60 | 2.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 2.82 | 3.35 | 2.32 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.60 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.60 | 2.37 |
| Marathonbet | 2.81 | 3.36 | 2.35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.91 | 3.48 | 2.46 |
| SBO | 2.62 | 3.14 | 2.22 |
| Superbet | 2.82 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
| Unibet | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.28 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.25 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .