Chongqing Tongliang Long
vs
Dalian Zhixing
0 – 1 Full time
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Dalian Zhixing overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Dalian Zhixing
| Probability | Chongqing Tongliang Long | Draw | Dalian Zhixing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.0% | 30.9% | 33.1% |
| Market | 41.9% | 28.2% | 30.0% |
| Final | 40.4% | 28.8% | 30.8% |
| Edge | -5.9% | +2.7% | +3.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Chongqing Tongliang Long and Dalian Zhixing expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.31
Chongqing Tongliang Long and Dalian Zhixing attack and defence ratings
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Dalian Zhixing
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Dalian Zhixing: result vs prediction
Chongqing Tongliang Long 0 – 1 Dalian Zhixing
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Dalian Zhixing markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 40.4% | 2.48 | -5.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.2% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 40.4% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| Dalian Zhixing | 30.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.4% |
| No | 51.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chongqing Tongliang Long win | 15.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 64.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 11.2% | |
| 1-0 | 10.4% |
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Dalian Zhixing stats
Chongqing Tongliang Long and Dalian Zhixing recent form
| Chongqing Tongliang Long |
DLLLDD |
| Dalian Zhixing |
DLWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chongqing Tongliang Long and Dalian Zhixing going into this match
Chongqing Tongliang Long record
- They have won 7 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dalian Zhixing record
- They have won 11 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Dalian Zhixing head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Dalian Zhixing | Chongqing Tongliang Long | China Super League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Dalian Zhixing odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.9%, draw 28.2%, away 30.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.26 | 3.40 | 3.22 |
| 888Sport | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.10 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.29 | 3.45 | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.19 | 3.30 | 3.12 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25 | 3.50 | 3.23 |
| SBO | 2.23 | 2.94 | 2.77 |
| Superbet | 2.22 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
| Unibet | 2.28 | 3.45 | 3.00 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .