China Super League
·
Full time
·Matchday 24
Sichuan Jiuniu
vs
Hangzhou Greentown
1 – 1 Full time
Sichuan Jiuniu
47%
Draw
22%
Hangzhou Greentown
31%
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown
| Probability | Sichuan Jiuniu | Draw | Hangzhou Greentown |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.7% | 22.2% | 31.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 46.7% | 22.2% | 31.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Sichuan Jiuniu
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.15 vs 1.74.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
91%
3+ goals
75%
No goals
3%
Sichuan Jiuniu and Hangzhou Greentown expected goals
Sichuan Jiuniu
2.15
Hangzhou Greentown
1.74
Total expected goals: 3.89
Sichuan Jiuniu and Hangzhou Greentown attack and defence ratings
Sichuan Jiuniu
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
1.15 +15%
Hangzhou Greentown
Attack
1.11 +11%
Defence
1.26 +26%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown: result vs prediction
Sichuan Jiuniu 1 – 1 Hangzhou Greentown
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
- Wuhan Three Towns v Tianjin Teda — match page
- Chengdu Better City vs Shanghai Shenhua — team news & stats
- Beijing Guoan v Yunnan Yukun — match page
- Qingdao Youth Island vs Shandong Luneng — team news & stats
- Shenyang Urban vs Henan Jianye
- SHANGHAI SIPG v Qingdao Jonoon — match page
- Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Dalian Zhixing — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 46.7% |
| Draw | 22.2% | |
| Hangzhou Greentown | 31.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.6% |
| No | 26.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sichuan Jiuniu win | 27.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 53.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.4% |
| 2-1 | 8.2% | |
| 2-2 | 7.2% |
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown stats
Sichuan Jiuniu and Hangzhou Greentown recent form
| Sichuan Jiuniu |
WLWLLW |
| Hangzhou Greentown |
LLWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sichuan Jiuniu and Hangzhou Greentown going into this match
Sichuan Jiuniu record
- They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Hangzhou Greentown record
- They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
0Sichuan Jiuniu wins
0Draws
3Hangzhou Greentown wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Hangzhou Greentown | Sichuan Jiuniu | China Super League | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-03 | Sichuan Jiuniu | Hangzhou Greentown | China Super League | 2-4 |
| 2025-04-01 | Hangzhou Greentown | Sichuan Jiuniu | China Super League | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.