China Super League · Full time ·Matchday 25

Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun

6 – 0 Full time

Huizhou Olympic Stadium, HuizhouReferee: K. Ai

Hangzhou Greentown 47%
Draw 23%
Yunnan Yukun 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHangzhou GreentownDrawYunnan Yukun
Model44.2%20.9%35.0%
Market47.6%23.8%28.6%
Final46.8%23.1%30.2%
Edge-3.5%-2.9%+6.4%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Hangzhou Green ↓ / Yunnan Yukun → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 6% 4% 2 7% 7% 5% 4% 3 5% 5% 4% 4+ 5% 5% 4%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 94%
3+ goals 81%
No goals 2%

Hangzhou Greentown and Yunnan Yukun expected goals

Hangzhou Greentown 2.28
Yunnan Yukun 2.06

Total expected goals: 4.35

Hangzhou Greentown and Yunnan Yukun attack and defence ratings

Hangzhou Greentown

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Yunnan Yukun

Attack 1.28 +28%
Defence 1.19 +19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun: result vs prediction

Hangzhou Greentown 6 – 0 Yunnan Yukun

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 25 fixtures

China Super League

Before and after this match

Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Hangzhou Greentown 46.8% 2.14 -3.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 80.8% 1.24 — —
Both teams to score Yes 79.0% 1.27 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.9% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.3% 1.78 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Hangzhou Greentown46.8%
Draw23.1%
Yunnan Yukun30.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.580.8%
Under 2.519.2%
Both teams to scoreYes79.0%
No21.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.8%
12 (either side)76.9%
X2 (draw or away)53.2%
Handicap -1Hangzhou Greentown win26.1%
Push (exactly one goal)17.5%
Loss56.3%
Correct score (top 3)2-27.2%
2-17.0%
1-16.7%

Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun stats

Hangzhou Greentown and Yunnan Yukun recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hangzhou Greentown and Yunnan Yukun going into this match

league record before kick-off

Hangzhou Greentown record

  • They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 24 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Yunnan Yukun record

  • They have won 10 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 25 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

2Hangzhou Greentown wins 1Draws 0Yunnan Yukun wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-06Yunnan YukunHangzhou GreentownChina Super League1-2
2025-07-18Hangzhou GreentownYunnan YukunChina Super League3-1
2025-03-01Yunnan YukunHangzhou GreentownChina Super League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.6%, draw 23.8%, away 28.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.92 3.90 3.20
1xBet 1.97 4.17 3.34
Bet365 1.95 4.00 3.25
BetVictor 1.95 3.90 3.10
Betano 1.95 3.80 3.30
Betfair 1.95 4.20 3.20
Dafabet 2.00 4.20 3.35
Marathonbet 1.91 4.05 3.25
Pinnacle 2.00 3.85 3.37
SBO 1.90 3.48 2.73
Superbet 1.95 3.90 3.20
Unibet 1.95 3.90 3.30
William Hill 1.95 3.80 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.95 ▼ -0.13
X 3.90 ▼ -0.04
2 3.25 ▲ +0.33

12 snapshots recorded, from .