China Super League
·
Full time
·Matchday 25
Shanghai Shenhua
vs
Shandong Luneng
2 – 3 Full time
Shanghai Shenhua
52%
Draw
22%
Shandong Luneng
26%
Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Luneng overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Luneng
| Probability | Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Shandong Luneng |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.2% | 21.8% | 34.0% |
| Market | 54.8% | 21.5% | 23.7% |
| Final | 52.2% | 21.6% | 26.2% |
| Edge | -10.6% | +0.3% | +10.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
92%
3+ goals
77%
No goals
2%
Shanghai Shenhua and Shandong Luneng expected goals
Shanghai Shenhua
2.16
Shandong Luneng
1.90
Total expected goals: 4.06
Shanghai Shenhua and Shandong Luneng attack and defence ratings
Shanghai Shenhua
Attack
1.16 +16%
Defence
1.26 +26%
Shandong Luneng
Attack
1.10 +10%
Defence
1.04 +4%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Luneng: result vs prediction
Shanghai Shenhua 2 – 3 Shandong Luneng
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
- Dalian Zhixing v Beijing Guoan — match page
- Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG — team news & stats
- Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns
- Tianjin Teda v Qingdao Youth Island — match page
- Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun — team news & stats
- Chengdu Better City vs Shenyang Urban
- Henan Jianye v Chongqing Tongliang Long — match page
Before and after this match
Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Luneng markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shanghai Shenhua | 52.2% | 1.92 | -10.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shanghai Shenhua | 52.2% |
| Draw | 21.6% | |
| Shandong Luneng | 26.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.9% |
| No | 24.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shanghai Shenhua win | 26.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.1% | |
| Loss | 55.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 7.8% |
| 2-1 | 7.7% | |
| 2-2 | 7.3% |
Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Luneng stats
Shanghai Shenhua and Shandong Luneng recent form
| Shanghai Shenhua |
WLWWLL |
| Shandong Luneng |
LWWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shanghai Shenhua and Shandong Luneng going into this match
Shanghai Shenhua record
- They have won 11 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Shandong Luneng record
- They have won 13 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Luneng head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5Shanghai Shenhua wins
1Draws
4Shandong Luneng wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 | Shandong Luneng | Shanghai Shenhua | China Super League | 4-1 |
| 2025-09-12 | Shanghai Shenhua | Shandong Luneng | China Super League | 3-3 |
| 2025-04-26 | Shandong Luneng | Shanghai Shenhua | China Super League | 0-1 |
| 2024-07-06 | Shanghai Shenhua | Shandong Luneng | Super League | 6-0 |
| 2024-03-31 | Shandong Luneng | Shanghai Shenhua | Super League | 0-3 |
| 2023-11-25 | Shanghai Shenhua | Shandong Luneng | FA Cup | 1-0 |
| 2023-07-11 | Shandong Luneng | Shanghai Shenhua | Super League | 3-0 |
| 2023-04-16 | Shanghai Shenhua | Shandong Luneng | Super League | 1-0 |
| 2023-01-11 | Shanghai Shenhua | Shandong Luneng | FA Cup | 0-2 |
| 2022-11-07 | Shandong Luneng | Shanghai Shenhua | Super League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Luneng odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.8%, draw 21.5%, away 23.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.70 | 4.20 | 3.75 |
| 1xBet | 1.71 | 4.64 | 4.06 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 4.50 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 4.33 | 3.75 |
| Betano | 1.72 | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 4.20 | 4.33 |
| Dafabet | 1.75 | 4.50 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.66 | 4.50 | 3.94 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71 | 4.33 | 4.09 |
| SBO | 1.64 | 3.76 | 3.28 |
| Superbet | 1.71 | 4.20 | 3.85 |
| Unibet | 1.68 | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 4.20 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.70 ▼ -0.05
X
4.33 ▲ +0.03
2
3.94 ▲ +0.23
12 snapshots recorded, from .