China Super League
·
Full time
·Matchday 26
Chongqing Tongliang Long
vs
Shanghai Shenhua
1 – 3 Full time
| 8′ | L. Asue | ||
| 11′ | Wu Xi | ||
| 19′ | Zexiang Yang | ||
| 45′ | Ibrahim Amadou | ||
| 46′ | Liang WeipengNg Yu-Hei | ||
| 56′ | I. AmadouRuan Qilong | ||
| 56′ | Xiang YuwangZhang Zhixiong | ||
| 57′ | Li ZhenquanDu Yuezheng | ||
| 65′ | Liu MingshiWei Suowei | ||
| 71′ | Xie PengfeiXu Haoyang | ||
| 71′ | Gao TianyiYang Haoyu | ||
| 82′ | L. AsueLiu Chengyu | ||
| 86′ | Yang Haoyu | ||
| 90′ | Yang ZexiangWang Shilong | ||
| 90′ | Rafael RataoJin Shunkai | ||
| 90′ | M. Ngadeu |
Chongqing Tongliang Long
31%
Draw
26%
Shanghai Shenhua
43%
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 60 | Possession % | 40 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 5 |
| 431 | Accurate passes | 253 |
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shanghai Shenhua overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shanghai Shenhua
| Probability | Chongqing Tongliang Long | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.7% | 27.5% | 36.8% |
| Market | 28.9% | 25.5% | 45.6% |
| Final | 30.6% | 26.0% | 43.4% |
| Edge | +6.8% | +2.0% | -8.9% |
Why Shanghai Shenhua
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
79%
3+ goals
54%
No goals
7%
Chongqing Tongliang Long and Shanghai Shenhua expected goals
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1.40
Shanghai Shenhua
1.43
Total expected goals: 2.83
Chongqing Tongliang Long and Shanghai Shenhua attack and defence ratings
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Attack
0.61 -39%
Defence
0.88 -12%
Shanghai Shenhua
Attack
1.18 +18%
Defence
1.29 +29%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shanghai Shenhua: result vs prediction
Chongqing Tongliang Long 1 – 3 Shanghai Shenhua
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
- Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island — team news & stats
- SHANGHAI SIPG vs Beijing Guoan
- Dalian Zhixing v Qingdao Jonoon — match page
- Shandong Luneng vs Sichuan Jiuniu — team news & stats
- Henan Jianye v Chengdu Better City — match page
- Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban — team news & stats
- Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown
Before and after this match
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shanghai Shenhua markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shanghai Shenhua | 43.4% | 2.30 | -8.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 30.6% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 43.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.5% |
| No | 41.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shanghai Shenhua win | 17.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 63.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 1-2 | 8.4% | |
| 2-1 | 8.3% |
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shanghai Shenhua stats
Chongqing Tongliang Long and Shanghai Shenhua recent form
| Chongqing Tongliang Long |
DLDLLL |
| Shanghai Shenhua |
LWLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chongqing Tongliang Long and Shanghai Shenhua going into this match
Chongqing Tongliang Long record
- They have won 7 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Shanghai Shenhua record
- They have won 11 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shanghai Shenhua head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
0Chongqing Tongliang Long wins
1Draws
1Shanghai Shenhua wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Shanghai Shenhua | Chongqing Tongliang Long | China Super League | 2-2 |
| 2023-08-30 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | Shanghai Shenhua | FA Cup | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shanghai Shenhua odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.7%, draw 25.8%, away 45.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.04 |
| 1xBet | 3.34 | 3.71 | 2.09 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.75 | 1.95 |
| BetVictor | 3.20 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.30 | 3.45 | 2.07 |
| Betfair | 3.20 | 3.75 | 2.10 |
| Dafabet | 3.45 | 3.80 | 2.06 |
| Marathonbet | 3.24 | 3.60 | 2.03 |
| Pinnacle | 3.36 | 3.79 | 2.09 |
| SBO | 2.96 | 3.16 | 1.90 |
| Superbet | 3.30 | 3.55 | 2.00 |
| Unibet | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| William Hill | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.22 ▼ -0.11
X
3.66 —
2
2.04 ▲ +0.03
11 snapshots recorded, from .