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China Super League · Full time ·Matchday 26

Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown

2 – 1 Full time

6′Xadas
34′Jin-seob Park
45′A. Mitrita
59′Wang QiumingJi Shengpan
59′Huang JiahuiChen Zhexuan
62′Lucas Possignolo
63′Cheng Jin
72′Ji Shengpan
74′Marko Tolić
83′Dun Ba
83′Sun GuowenGao Di
89′Xianjun Wang
90′Chen Zhexuan
90′Ba DunWu Xinghan
90′Cheng JinWang Yang
90′M. TolicBao Shengxin

Olympic Sports Center Stadium, TianjinReferee: W. Jing

Tianjin Teda 38%
Draw 26%
Hangzhou Greentown 36%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 20
8 Shots on target 5
30 Possession % 70
10 Corners 4
15 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 0
4 Saves 6
153 Accurate passes 464

Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTianjin TedaDrawHangzhou Greentown
Model41.7%25.4%32.9%
Market36.5%26.1%37.4%
Final37.8%25.9%36.3%
Edge+5.3%-0.7%-4.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Tianjin Teda

  • The market prices Tianjin Teda below the model: +5.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Tianjin Teda ↓ / Hangzhou Green → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 8% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Tianjin Teda and Hangzhou Greentown expected goals

Tianjin Teda 1.70
Hangzhou Greentown 1.49

Total expected goals: 3.19

Tianjin Teda and Hangzhou Greentown attack and defence ratings

Tianjin Teda

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Hangzhou Greentown

Attack 1.33 +33%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown: result vs prediction

Tianjin Teda 2 – 1 Hangzhou Greentown

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 26 fixtures

China Super League

Before and after this match

Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Tianjin Teda 37.8% 2.65 +5.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.8% 1.62 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.4% 1.55 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.1% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.2% 1.72 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Tianjin Teda37.8%
Draw25.9%
Hangzhou Greentown36.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.8%
Under 2.538.2%
Both teams to scoreYes64.4%
No35.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.7%
12 (either side)74.1%
X2 (draw or away)62.2%
Handicap -1Tianjin Teda win22.4%
Push (exactly one goal)19.5%
Loss58.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.5%
2-18.9%
1-27.8%

Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown stats

Tianjin Teda and Hangzhou Greentown recent form

newest first
Tianjin Teda DDLLWW
Hangzhou Greentown WDLLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Tianjin Teda and Hangzhou Greentown going into this match

league record before kick-off

Tianjin Teda record

  • They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Hangzhou Greentown record

  • They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 24 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

4Tianjin Teda wins 1Draws 4Hangzhou Greentown wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-10Hangzhou GreentownTianjin TedaChina Super League1-1
2025-08-20Hangzhou GreentownTianjin TedaChina Super League2-0
2025-04-20Tianjin TedaHangzhou GreentownChina Super League2-0
2025-01-23Tianjin TedaHangzhou GreentownFriendlies Clubs2-1
2024-08-11Tianjin TedaHangzhou GreentownSuper League3-2
2024-04-19Hangzhou GreentownTianjin TedaSuper League3-2
2023-07-16Hangzhou GreentownTianjin TedaSuper League2-1
2023-04-21Tianjin TedaHangzhou GreentownSuper League2-1
2022-10-29Tianjin TedaHangzhou GreentownSuper League1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.5%, draw 26.2%, away 37.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.50 3.45 2.50
1xBet 2.65 3.56 2.57
Bet365 2.55 3.60 2.45
BetVictor 2.55 3.60 2.40
Betano 2.50 3.45 2.57
Betfair 2.55 3.75 2.50
Dafabet 2.60 3.60 2.65
Marathonbet 2.57 3.46 2.49
Pinnacle 2.67 3.70 2.54
SBO 2.31 3.10 2.35
Superbet 2.50 3.45 2.57
Unibet 2.35 3.55 2.75
William Hill 2.50 3.40 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.56 ▲ +0.06
X 3.58 ▲ +0.09
2 2.50 ▼ -0.10

11 snapshots recorded, from .