China Super League · Full time ·Matchday 18

Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban

1 – 0 Full time

10′A. Cordoba
46′D. MawlanniyazZang Yifeng
62′Wang QiumingJi Shengpan
62′Huang JiahuiChen Zhexuan
66′Sun Ming-HimWu Xinghan
76′Ba DunWang Zhenghao
76′A. QuilesGuilherme Schettine
79′Chen BinbinLi Haoran
79′Li TixiangTian Yinong
88′FelipeGao Jiarun
88′A. KouameYan Dinghao

Olympic Sports Center Stadium, TianjinReferee: D. Wang

Tianjin Teda 52%
Draw 25%
Shenyang Urban 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 2
31 Possession % 69
3 Corners 3
15 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 4
2 Saves 2
196 Accurate passes 504

Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTianjin TedaDrawShenyang Urban
Model61.7%21.2%17.0%
Market49.1%26.4%24.5%
Final52.3%25.1%22.7%
Edge+12.6%-5.1%-7.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Tianjin Teda

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.23 vs 1.12.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Tianjin Teda below the model: +12.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Tianjin Teda ↓ / Shenyang Urban → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 10% 5% 2 9% 10% 5% 3 7% 7% 4+ 6% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 4%

Tianjin Teda and Shenyang Urban expected goals

Tianjin Teda 2.23
Shenyang Urban 1.12

Total expected goals: 3.35

Tianjin Teda and Shenyang Urban attack and defence ratings

Tianjin Teda

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Shenyang Urban

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.33 +33%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban: result vs prediction

Tianjin Teda 1 – 0 Shenyang Urban

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 18 fixtures

China Super League

Before and after this match

Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Tianjin Teda 52.3% 1.91 +12.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.1% 1.54 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.9% 1.64 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.3% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Tianjin Teda win 40.0% 2.50 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Tianjin Teda52.3%
Draw25.1%
Shenyang Urban22.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.1%
Under 2.534.9%
Both teams to scoreYes60.9%
No39.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.3%
12 (either side)74.9%
X2 (draw or away)47.7%
Handicap -1Tianjin Teda win40.0%
Push (exactly one goal)21.7%
Loss38.3%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.8%
1-19.6%
2-08.7%

Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban stats

Tianjin Teda and Shenyang Urban recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Tianjin Teda and Shenyang Urban going into this match

league record before kick-off

Tianjin Teda record

  • They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Shenyang Urban record

  • They have won 7 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Tianjin Teda wins 0Draws 1Shenyang Urban wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-21Shenyang UrbanTianjin TedaChina Super League3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.9%, draw 26.4%, away 24.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.88 3.45 3.75
1xBet 1.95 3.64 3.85
888Sport 1.91 3.40 3.70
Bet365 1.90 3.60 3.80
BetVictor 1.87 3.50 3.70
Betano 1.88 3.50 3.80
Betfair 1.90 3.60 3.80
Dafabet 1.98 3.65 3.80
Marathonbet 1.89 3.54 3.74
Pinnacle 1.95 3.68 3.90
SBO 1.94 3.08 3.24
Superbet 1.95 3.45 3.60
Unibet 1.83 3.70 3.95
William Hill 1.85 3.40 3.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.90 ▼ -0.02
X 3.54 —
2 3.80 —

11 snapshots recorded, from .