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China Super League · Full time ·Matchday 18

Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye

1 – 1 Full time

52′J. Cadiz
58′Zheng DalunZhong Yihao
77′Shinar YeljanN. Muhmet
77′Huang RuifengHaliq Ablahan
81′N. Muhmet
82′Zhang XiaobinLiao Chengjian
82′A. LeauteyWang Jinxian
83′He ChaoO. Gerbig
84′Zheng Kaimu
87′Gustavo SauerLiu Yiming
90′Xu HaofengChen Zhechao
90′D. Ramos
90′Chen Zhechao
90′Gustavo
90′Zheng Kaimu
90′Zheng Kaimu

Wuhan Sports Centre, WuhanReferee: Zhang Yangfan

Wuhan Three Towns 39%
Draw 25%
Henan Jianye 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 23
3 Shots on target 4
39 Possession % 61
3 Corners 11
12 Fouls 23
1 Offsides 0
3 Saves 2
251 Accurate passes 455

Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWuhan Three TownsDrawHenan Jianye
Model54.8%23.9%21.3%
Market34.2%25.7%40.1%
Final39.3%25.2%35.4%
Edge+20.6%-1.7%-18.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Wuhan Three Towns

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 1.16.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Wuhan Three Towns below the model: +20.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Wuhan Three To ↓ / Henan Jianye → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 11% 6% 2 9% 10% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 5%

Wuhan Three Towns and Henan Jianye expected goals

Wuhan Three Towns 1.95
Henan Jianye 1.16

Total expected goals: 3.11

Wuhan Three Towns and Henan Jianye attack and defence ratings

Wuhan Three Towns

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Henan Jianye

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye: result vs prediction

Wuhan Three Towns 1 – 1 Henan Jianye

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 18 fixtures

China Super League

Before and after this match

Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Wuhan Three Towns 39.3% 2.54 +20.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.0% 1.67 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.8% 1.67 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.8% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.2% 2.21 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Wuhan Three Towns39.3%
Draw25.2%
Henan Jianye35.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.0%
Under 2.540.0%
Both teams to scoreYes59.8%
No40.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.6%
12 (either side)74.8%
X2 (draw or away)60.7%
Handicap -1Wuhan Three Towns win32.8%
Push (exactly one goal)22.0%
Loss45.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.1%
2-19.8%
2-08.5%

Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye stats

Wuhan Three Towns and Henan Jianye recent form

newest first
Wuhan Three Towns DWDLDW
Henan Jianye DDDLDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Wuhan Three Towns and Henan Jianye going into this match

league record before kick-off

Wuhan Three Towns record

  • They have won 5 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Henan Jianye record

  • They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

5Wuhan Three Towns wins 2Draws 2Henan Jianye wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-21Henan JianyeWuhan Three TownsChina Super League1-1
2025-09-19Wuhan Three TownsHenan JianyeChina Super League2-5
2025-05-01Henan JianyeWuhan Three TownsChina Super League1-2
2024-09-29Wuhan Three TownsHenan JianyeSuper League1-0
2024-05-17Henan JianyeWuhan Three TownsSuper League2-3
2023-08-09Wuhan Three TownsHenan JianyeSuper League4-2
2023-05-09Henan JianyeWuhan Three TownsSuper League1-1
2022-11-13Wuhan Three TownsHenan JianyeSuper League1-3
2022-08-17Henan JianyeWuhan Three TownsSuper League0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.5%, draw 25.8%, away 39.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.56 3.50 2.40
1xBet 2.81 3.70 2.37
888Sport 2.63 3.40 2.40
Bet365 2.70 3.70 2.38
BetVictor 2.70 3.60 2.25
Betano 2.67 3.60 2.32
Betfair 2.70 3.80 2.30
Dafabet 2.70 3.70 2.49
Marathonbet 2.73 3.60 2.30
Pinnacle 2.82 3.80 2.38
SBO 2.58 3.23 2.21
Superbet 2.62 3.50 2.40
Unibet 2.85 3.55 2.28
William Hill 2.75 3.40 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.70 ▲ +0.08
X 3.60 ▼ -0.03
2 2.30 ▼ -0.14

11 snapshots recorded, from .