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China Super League · Full time ·Matchday 26

Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island

2 – 2 Full time

3′Davidson
19′K. Bevis
21′Jingchao Meng
22′K. Bevis
38′Samir Memisevic
57′Yu Dong
62′Yu Dong
62′Yu Dong
68′Meng JingchaoHe Longhai
73′He GuanZheng Kaimu
73′Zhang XiaobinJ. Xiong
82′Zhang ChengdongWang Peng
82′Wang GengruiLohman Elnizar
83′Davidson
86′Xu HaofengChen Zhechao
90′A. YakubuNan Song

Wuhan Sports Centre, WuhanReferee: D. Wang

Wuhan Three Towns 44%
Draw 28%
Qingdao Youth Island 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 4
52 Possession % 48
6 Corners 4
10 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 2
2 Saves 5
313 Accurate passes 281

Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWuhan Three TownsDrawQingdao Youth Island
Model38.4%31.3%30.3%
Market46.3%26.5%27.2%
Final44.3%27.7%28.0%
Edge-7.9%+4.8%+3.1%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Wuhan Three To ↓ / Qingdao Youth → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 10% 1 11% 15% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

Wuhan Three Towns and Qingdao Youth Island expected goals

Wuhan Three Towns 1.21
Qingdao Youth Island 1.04

Total expected goals: 2.25

Wuhan Three Towns and Qingdao Youth Island attack and defence ratings

Wuhan Three Towns

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Qingdao Youth Island

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 0.62 -38%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island: result vs prediction

Wuhan Three Towns 2 – 2 Qingdao Youth Island

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 26 fixtures

China Super League

Before and after this match

Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Wuhan Three Towns 44.3% 2.26 -7.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.9% 1.64 — —
Both teams to score No 53.3% 1.88 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.3% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.6% 1.62 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Wuhan Three Towns44.3%
Draw27.7%
Qingdao Youth Island28.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.1%
Under 2.560.9%
Both teams to scoreYes46.7%
No53.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.0%
12 (either side)72.3%
X2 (draw or away)55.7%
Handicap -1Wuhan Three Towns win17.1%
Push (exactly one goal)21.3%
Loss61.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.6%
0-011.9%
1-011.4%

Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island stats

Wuhan Three Towns and Qingdao Youth Island recent form

newest first
Wuhan Three Towns WDLDWW
Qingdao Youth Island DWDDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Wuhan Three Towns and Qingdao Youth Island going into this match

league record before kick-off

Wuhan Three Towns record

  • They have won 5 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Qingdao Youth Island record

  • They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Wuhan Three Towns wins 2Draws 2Qingdao Youth Island wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-10Qingdao Youth IslandWuhan Three TownsChina Super League1-1
2025-07-18Wuhan Three TownsQingdao Youth IslandChina Super League1-1
2025-03-03Qingdao Youth IslandWuhan Three TownsChina Super League2-0
2024-11-02Wuhan Three TownsQingdao Youth IslandSuper League1-3
2024-06-16Qingdao Youth IslandWuhan Three TownsSuper League0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.1%, draw 26.0%, away 25.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.83 3.55 3.85
1xBet 2.04 3.58 3.58
Bet365 2.00 3.60 3.25
BetVictor 2.00 3.40 3.40
Betano 1.88 3.50 3.80
Betfair 1.85 3.60 4.00
Dafabet 1.92 3.65 4.10
Marathonbet 1.98 3.48 3.48
Pinnacle 2.09 3.60 3.54
SBO 1.78 3.05 3.48
Superbet 1.88 3.45 3.85
Unibet 1.86 3.55 3.95
William Hill 2.05 3.30 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.02 ▲ +0.18
X 3.53 ▼ -0.02
2 3.44 ▼ -0.54

9 snapshots recorded, from .