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China Super League · Full time ·Matchday 25

Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns

1 – 5 Full time

Qingdao Youth Football Stadium, QingdaoReferee: M. Jahari

Qingdao Jonoon 34%
Draw 27%
Wuhan Three Towns 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityQingdao JonoonDrawWuhan Three Towns
Model31.2%27.0%41.7%
Market35.6%26.5%37.9%
Final34.5%26.7%38.9%
Edge-4.4%+0.5%+3.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Wuhan Three Towns

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Wuhan Three Towns below the model: +3.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Qingdao Jonoon ↓ / Wuhan Three To → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 7% 1 13% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Qingdao Jonoon and Wuhan Three Towns expected goals

Qingdao Jonoon 1.32
Wuhan Three Towns 1.56

Total expected goals: 2.87

Qingdao Jonoon and Wuhan Three Towns attack and defence ratings

Qingdao Jonoon

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 1.32 +32%

Wuhan Three Towns

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns: result vs prediction

Qingdao Jonoon 1 – 5 Wuhan Three Towns

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 25 fixtures

China Super League

Before and after this match

Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Wuhan Three Towns 38.9% 2.57 +3.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.7% 1.83 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.9% 1.70 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.3% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.1% 1.72 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Qingdao Jonoon34.5%
Draw26.7%
Wuhan Three Towns38.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.7%
Under 2.545.3%
Both teams to scoreYes58.9%
No41.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.1%
12 (either side)73.3%
X2 (draw or away)65.5%
Handicap -1Wuhan Three Towns win21.6%
Push (exactly one goal)20.3%
Loss58.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.8%
1-29.0%
2-17.6%

Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns stats

Qingdao Jonoon and Wuhan Three Towns recent form

newest first
Qingdao Jonoon LLLLLL
Wuhan Three Towns DLDWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Qingdao Jonoon and Wuhan Three Towns going into this match

league record before kick-off

Qingdao Jonoon record

  • They have won 6 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Wuhan Three Towns record

  • They have won 5 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

2Qingdao Jonoon wins 1Draws 4Wuhan Three Towns wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-06Wuhan Three TownsQingdao JonoonChina Super League1-3
2025-11-02Qingdao JonoonWuhan Three TownsChina Super League1-0
2025-06-13Wuhan Three TownsQingdao JonoonChina Super League2-0
2024-09-15Qingdao JonoonWuhan Three TownsSuper League1-1
2024-05-05Wuhan Three TownsQingdao JonoonSuper League1-0
2023-07-30Wuhan Three TownsQingdao JonoonSuper League1-0
2023-04-29Qingdao JonoonWuhan Three TownsSuper League0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.6%, draw 26.5%, away 37.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.55 3.50 2.44
1xBet 2.69 3.66 2.48
Bet365 2.62 3.60 2.45
BetVictor 2.55 3.50 2.40
Betano 2.62 3.35 2.50
Betfair 2.63 3.60 2.45
Dafabet 2.70 3.55 2.60
Marathonbet 2.61 3.55 2.41
Pinnacle 2.74 3.43 2.51
SBO 2.36 3.05 2.32
Superbet 2.60 3.40 2.50
Unibet 2.50 3.60 2.55
William Hill 2.60 3.40 2.45

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.61 ▲ +0.05
X 3.50 ▲ +0.10
2 2.45 ▼ -0.09

10 snapshots recorded, from .