China Super League
·
Full time
·Matchday 25
Henan Jianye
vs
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1 – 1 Full time
Henan Jianye
57%
Draw
25%
Chongqing Tongliang Long
18%
Henan Jianye vs Chongqing Tongliang Long overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Henan Jianye vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
| Probability | Henan Jianye | Draw | Chongqing Tongliang Long |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.9% | 25.9% | 18.3% |
| Market | 57.5% | 24.4% | 18.1% |
| Final | 57.1% | 24.7% | 18.2% |
| Edge | -1.6% | +1.5% | +0.1% |
Why Henan Jianye
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 0.90.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
75%
3+ goals
49%
No goals
8%
Henan Jianye and Chongqing Tongliang Long expected goals
Henan Jianye
1.73
Chongqing Tongliang Long
0.90
Total expected goals: 2.63
Henan Jianye and Chongqing Tongliang Long attack and defence ratings
Henan Jianye
Attack
1.08 +8%
Defence
1.10 +10%
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Attack
0.60 -40%
Defence
0.90 -10%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Henan Jianye vs Chongqing Tongliang Long: result vs prediction
Henan Jianye 1 – 1 Chongqing Tongliang Long
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
- Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Luneng
- Dalian Zhixing v Beijing Guoan — match page
- Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG — team news & stats
- Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns
- Tianjin Teda v Qingdao Youth Island — match page
- Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun — team news & stats
- Chengdu Better City vs Shenyang Urban
Before and after this match
Henan Jianye vs Chongqing Tongliang Long markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Henan Jianye | 57.1% | 1.75 | -1.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Henan Jianye | 57.1% |
| Draw | 24.7% | |
| Chongqing Tongliang Long | 18.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.0% |
| No | 50.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Henan Jianye win | 31.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.9% | |
| Loss | 44.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 1-0 | 11.3% | |
| 2-0 | 10.8% |
Henan Jianye vs Chongqing Tongliang Long stats
Henan Jianye and Chongqing Tongliang Long recent form
| Henan Jianye |
DLDDWW |
| Chongqing Tongliang Long |
LDLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Henan Jianye and Chongqing Tongliang Long going into this match
Henan Jianye record
- They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chongqing Tongliang Long record
- They have won 7 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Henan Jianye vs Chongqing Tongliang Long head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
1Henan Jianye wins
1Draws
0Chongqing Tongliang Long wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | Henan Jianye | China Super League | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-21 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | Henan Jianye | FA Cup | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Henan Jianye vs Chongqing Tongliang Long odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.5%, draw 24.4%, away 18.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.61 | 3.75 | 5.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.62 | 4.04 | 5.51 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.80 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 3.75 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 3.75 | 5.10 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.63 | 4.10 | 5.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.57 | 3.92 | 5.35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61 | 3.90 | 5.38 |
| SBO | 1.52 | 3.37 | 4.48 |
| Superbet | 1.60 | 3.85 | 5.10 |
| Unibet | 1.66 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.75 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.61 ▲ +0.01
X
3.80 ▼ -0.11
2
5.10 ▼ -0.12
10 snapshots recorded, from .