SHANGHAI SIPG
vs
Qingdao Jonoon
2 – 1 Full time
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Qingdao Jonoon overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SHANGHAI SIPG vs Qingdao Jonoon
| Probability | SHANGHAI SIPG | Draw | Qingdao Jonoon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.8% | 18.7% | 13.4% |
| Market | 71.4% | 17.0% | 11.6% |
| Final | 70.5% | 17.5% | 12.1% |
| Edge | -3.6% | +1.7% | +1.8% |
Why SHANGHAI SIPG
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.48 vs 1.05.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
SHANGHAI SIPG and Qingdao Jonoon expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.53
SHANGHAI SIPG and Qingdao Jonoon attack and defence ratings
SHANGHAI SIPG
Qingdao Jonoon
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Qingdao Jonoon: result vs prediction
SHANGHAI SIPG 2 – 1 Qingdao Jonoon
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
- Wuhan Three Towns v Tianjin Teda — match page
- Chengdu Better City vs Shanghai Shenhua — team news & stats
- Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown
- Beijing Guoan v Yunnan Yukun — match page
- Qingdao Youth Island vs Shandong Luneng — team news & stats
- Shenyang Urban vs Henan Jianye
- Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Dalian Zhixing — team news & stats
Before and after this match
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Qingdao Jonoon markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 70.5% | 1.42 | -3.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | SHANGHAI SIPG win | 46.6% | 2.15 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 70.5% |
| Draw | 17.5% | |
| Qingdao Jonoon | 12.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.5% |
| No | 39.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 29.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | SHANGHAI SIPG win | 46.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 32.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.5% |
| 2-0 | 9.0% | |
| 1-1 | 8.4% |
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Qingdao Jonoon stats
SHANGHAI SIPG and Qingdao Jonoon recent form
| SHANGHAI SIPG |
DWWLWD |
| Qingdao Jonoon |
LLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SHANGHAI SIPG and Qingdao Jonoon going into this match
SHANGHAI SIPG record
- They have won 10 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 25 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
Qingdao Jonoon record
- They have won 6 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Qingdao Jonoon head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Qingdao Jonoon | SHANGHAI SIPG | China Super League | 3-1 |
| 2025-10-17 | Qingdao Jonoon | SHANGHAI SIPG | China Super League | 3-4 |
| 2025-05-09 | SHANGHAI SIPG | Qingdao Jonoon | China Super League | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Qingdao Jonoon odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 71.4%, draw 17.0%, away 11.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.32 | 5.78 | 8.60 |
| 888Sport | 1.30 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.30 | 5.50 | 8.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.29 | 5.25 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.32 | 5.20 | 7.60 |
| Betfair | 1.29 | 5.50 | 8.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.34 | 5.80 | 8.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.28 | 5.55 | 8.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.32 | 5.92 | 8.51 |
| SBO | 1.27 | 4.94 | 6.38 |
| Superbet | 1.30 | 5.45 | 7.30 |
| Unibet | 1.32 | 5.20 | 7.00 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .