China Super League
·
Full time
·Matchday 24
Chengdu Better City
vs
Shanghai Shenhua
4 – 5 Full time
Chengdu Better City
55%
Draw
24%
Shanghai Shenhua
20%
Chengdu Better City vs Shanghai Shenhua overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chengdu Better City vs Shanghai Shenhua
| Probability | Chengdu Better City | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.3% | 24.2% | 20.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 55.3% | 24.2% | 20.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Chengdu Better City
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.10.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
81%
3+ goals
58%
No goals
6%
Chengdu Better City and Shanghai Shenhua expected goals
Chengdu Better City
1.91
Shanghai Shenhua
1.10
Total expected goals: 3.01
Chengdu Better City and Shanghai Shenhua attack and defence ratings
Chengdu Better City
Attack
0.93 -7%
Defence
0.84 -16%
Shanghai Shenhua
Attack
0.96 -4%
Defence
1.15 +15%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Chengdu Better City vs Shanghai Shenhua: result vs prediction
Chengdu Better City 4 – 5 Shanghai Shenhua
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
- Wuhan Three Towns v Tianjin Teda — match page
- Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown
- Beijing Guoan v Yunnan Yukun — match page
- Qingdao Youth Island vs Shandong Luneng — team news & stats
- Shenyang Urban vs Henan Jianye
- SHANGHAI SIPG v Qingdao Jonoon — match page
- Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Dalian Zhixing — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Chengdu Better City vs Shanghai Shenhua markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chengdu Better City | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chengdu Better City | 55.3% |
| Draw | 24.2% | |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 20.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.8% |
| No | 42.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chengdu Better City win | 32.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 44.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.0% |
Chengdu Better City vs Shanghai Shenhua stats
Chengdu Better City and Shanghai Shenhua recent form
| Chengdu Better City |
WLDDDD |
| Shanghai Shenhua |
LWWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chengdu Better City and Shanghai Shenhua going into this match
Chengdu Better City record
- They have won 15 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Shanghai Shenhua record
- They have won 11 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chengdu Better City vs Shanghai Shenhua head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
2Chengdu Better City wins
1Draws
0Shanghai Shenhua wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Shanghai Shenhua | Chengdu Better City | China Super League | 2-3 |
| 2025-09-21 | Shanghai Shenhua | Chengdu Better City | China Super League | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-02 | Chengdu Better City | Shanghai Shenhua | China Super League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.