China Super League
·
Full time
·Matchday 24
Qingdao Youth Island
vs
Shandong Luneng
2 – 0 Full time
Qingdao Youth Island
45%
Draw
28%
Shandong Luneng
26%
Qingdao Youth Island vs Shandong Luneng overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Qingdao Youth Island vs Shandong Luneng
| Probability | Qingdao Youth Island | Draw | Shandong Luneng |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.3% | 28.3% | 26.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 45.3% | 28.3% | 26.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Qingdao Youth Island
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 1.09.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
74%
3+ goals
48%
No goals
9%
Qingdao Youth Island and Shandong Luneng expected goals
Qingdao Youth Island
1.49
Shandong Luneng
1.09
Total expected goals: 2.58
Qingdao Youth Island and Shandong Luneng attack and defence ratings
Qingdao Youth Island
Attack
0.82 -18%
Defence
0.66 -34%
Shandong Luneng
Attack
1.21 +21%
Defence
1.01 +1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Qingdao Youth Island vs Shandong Luneng: result vs prediction
Qingdao Youth Island 2 – 0 Shandong Luneng
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
- Wuhan Three Towns v Tianjin Teda — match page
- Chengdu Better City vs Shanghai Shenhua — team news & stats
- Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown
- Beijing Guoan v Yunnan Yukun — match page
- Shenyang Urban vs Henan Jianye
- SHANGHAI SIPG v Qingdao Jonoon — match page
- Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Dalian Zhixing — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Qingdao Youth Island vs Shandong Luneng markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Qingdao Youth Island | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Qingdao Youth Island | 45.3% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Shandong Luneng | 26.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.6% |
| No | 47.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Qingdao Youth Island win | 23.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 54.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-0 | 10.1% | |
| 2-1 | 9.2% |
Qingdao Youth Island vs Shandong Luneng stats
Qingdao Youth Island and Shandong Luneng recent form
| Qingdao Youth Island |
DDWWDL |
| Shandong Luneng |
WWWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Qingdao Youth Island and Shandong Luneng going into this match
Qingdao Youth Island record
- They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Shandong Luneng record
- They have won 13 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Qingdao Youth Island vs Shandong Luneng head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
0Qingdao Youth Island wins
1Draws
2Shandong Luneng wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Shandong Luneng | Qingdao Youth Island | China Super League | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-24 | Shandong Luneng | Qingdao Youth Island | China Super League | 3-2 |
| 2025-04-15 | Qingdao Youth Island | Shandong Luneng | China Super League | 1-5 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.