China Super League · Full time ·Matchday 28

Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda

0 – 1 Full time

15′Haliq Ablahan
27′Guilherme Schettine
35′Xadas
46′Haliq AblahanYin Congyao
60′Lucas MaiaO. Gerbig
60′Wang ZhenghaoBa Dun
60′XadasWang Qiuming
72′Pedro MaranhaoA. Abudulam
72′Zhong YihaoZheng Dalun
72′Guilherme SchettineJi Shengpan
83′Yin Congyao
84′Yan Bingliang
84′Shinar YeljanYang Yilin

Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium, ZhengzhouReferee: Haixin Li, China

Henan Jianye 44%
Draw 28%
Tianjin Teda 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 2
71 Possession % 29
5 Corners 4
8 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 0
1 Saves 3
544 Accurate passes 161

Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHenan JianyeDrawTianjin Teda
Model32.6%30.6%36.8%
Market47.8%27.4%24.8%
Final44.0%28.2%27.8%
Edge-3.8%+0.8%+3.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Henan Jianye ↓ / Tianjin Teda → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 10% 1 10% 14% 8% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

Henan Jianye and Tianjin Teda expected goals

Henan Jianye 1.13
Tianjin Teda 1.22

Total expected goals: 2.34

Henan Jianye and Tianjin Teda attack and defence ratings

Henan Jianye

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Tianjin Teda

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.66 -34%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda: result vs prediction

Henan Jianye 0 – 1 Tianjin Teda

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 28 fixtures

China Super League

Before and after this match

Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Henan Jianye 44.0% 2.27 -3.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.4% 1.71 — —
Both teams to score No 51.1% 1.96 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 72.2% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 67.4% 1.48 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Henan Jianye44.0%
Draw28.2%
Tianjin Teda27.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.6%
Under 2.558.4%
Both teams to scoreYes48.9%
No51.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.2%
12 (either side)71.8%
X2 (draw or away)56.0%
Handicap -1Henan Jianye win13.7%
Push (exactly one goal)18.8%
Loss67.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.5%
0-010.9%
0-110.3%

Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda stats

Henan Jianye and Tianjin Teda recent form

newest first
Henan Jianye DDDDDL
Tianjin Teda WWWDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Henan Jianye and Tianjin Teda going into this match

league record before kick-off

Henan Jianye record

  • They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Tianjin Teda record

  • They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Henan Jianye wins 2Draws 6Tianjin Teda wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-19Tianjin TedaHenan JianyeChina Super League1-2
2025-09-28Tianjin TedaHenan JianyeChina Super League1-0
2025-05-05Henan JianyeTianjin TedaChina Super League3-4
2024-09-14Tianjin TedaHenan JianyeSuper League1-0
2024-05-04Henan JianyeTianjin TedaSuper League1-2
2023-08-13Henan JianyeTianjin TedaSuper League1-0
2023-05-14Tianjin TedaHenan JianyeSuper League1-0
2022-12-10Tianjin TedaHenan JianyeSuper League1-1
2022-09-14Henan JianyeTianjin TedaSuper League0-1
2021-12-28Tianjin TedaHenan JianyeSuper League0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.8%, draw 27.4%, away 24.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.97 3.58 3.84
Bet365 1.95 3.50 3.80
BetVictor 1.90 3.40 3.70
Betano 1.95 3.30 3.85
Betfair 1.95 3.40 3.60
Dafabet 1.80 3.75 4.60
Marathonbet 1.90 3.45 3.70
Pinnacle 2.01 3.31 4.15
SBO 1.92 3.02 3.37
William Hill 1.95 3.30 3.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.95 ▲ +0.24
X 3.40 ▼ -0.38
2 3.75 ▼ -0.87

11 snapshots recorded, from .