Henan Jianye
vs
Tianjin Teda
Garuda Lions Prediction: Henan Jianye
1 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda
| Probability | Henan Jianye | Draw | Tianjin Teda |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.5% | 29.6% | 34.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 35.5% | 29.6% | 34.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda match preview
Henan Jianye and Tianjin Teda are set to clash in the China Super League, with kickoff scheduled for October 16, 2026. According to our model, Henan Jianye has a 36% probability of winning, while Tianjin Teda stands at 35%, with a 30% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Henan Jianye, occurring at a rate of 9%. Both teams are expected to have close performances, with expected goals of 1.25 for Henan Jianye and 1.24 for Tianjin Teda.
In terms of recent form, Henan Jianye has struggled, recording five draws followed by one loss, while Tianjin Teda has seen a mix of results with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last six matches. The head-to-head record shows Henan Jianye winning once in their last three encounters, while Tianjin Teda has secured two victories. The confidence grade for this matchup is rated as C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Henan Jianye and Tianjin Teda expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.50
Henan Jianye and Tianjin Teda attack and defence ratings
Henan Jianye
Tianjin Teda
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Before and after this match
Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Henan Jianye | 35.5% | 2.81 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Henan Jianye | 35.5% |
| Draw | 29.6% | |
| Tianjin Teda | 34.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.1% |
| No | 47.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Henan Jianye win | 16.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 64.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-0 | 9.5% | |
| 1-0 | 9.1% |
Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda stats
Henan Jianye and Tianjin Teda recent form
| Henan Jianye |
DDDDDL |
| Tianjin Teda |
WWDDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Henan Jianye and Tianjin Teda season so far
Henan Jianye record
- They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tianjin Teda record
- They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | Tianjin Teda | Henan Jianye | China Super League | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-28 | Tianjin Teda | Henan Jianye | China Super League | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-05 | Henan Jianye | Tianjin Teda | China Super League | 3-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.