China Super League
·
Full time
·Matchday 28
Dalian Zhixing
vs
Sichuan Jiuniu
3 – 1 Full time
| 8′ | N. Stanciu | ||
| 33′ | Bi JinhaoSong Yue | ||
| 42′ | Luo Jing | ||
| 52′ | F. Acheampong | ||
| 57′ | H. ShenDai Wai-Tsun | ||
| 60′ | Zhang HuachenHuang Shan | ||
| 60′ | P. DelgadoYang Mingrui | ||
| 66′ | Luo JingFeng Jing | ||
| 79′ | D. Owusu-SekyereXia Dalong | ||
| 90′ | Dai Wai-Tsun |
Dalian Zhixing
58%
Draw
23%
Sichuan Jiuniu
19%
Match stats
| 24 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 10 | Corners | 9 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 7 |
| 258 | Accurate passes | 356 |
Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu
| Probability | Dalian Zhixing | Draw | Sichuan Jiuniu |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.4% | 23.2% | 16.4% |
| Market | 56.9% | 22.9% | 20.2% |
| Final | 57.8% | 23.0% | 19.2% |
| Edge | +3.5% | +0.2% | -3.7% |
Why Dalian Zhixing
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.99 vs 0.96.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Dalian Zhixing below the model: +3.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
80%
3+ goals
56%
No goals
6%
Dalian Zhixing and Sichuan Jiuniu expected goals
Dalian Zhixing
1.99
Sichuan Jiuniu
0.96
Total expected goals: 2.94
Dalian Zhixing and Sichuan Jiuniu attack and defence ratings
Dalian Zhixing
Attack
1.07 +7%
Defence
0.77 -23%
Sichuan Jiuniu
Attack
0.90 -10%
Defence
1.04 +4%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu: result vs prediction
Dalian Zhixing 3 – 1 Sichuan Jiuniu
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
- Henan Jianye v Tianjin Teda — match page
- Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenyang Urban
- Yunnan Yukun v Chongqing Tongliang Long — match page
- Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown — team news & stats
- Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua
- Beijing Guoan v Qingdao Youth Island — match page
- SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dalian Zhixing | 57.8% | 1.73 | +3.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.6% | 2.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dalian Zhixing | 57.8% |
| Draw | 23.0% | |
| Sichuan Jiuniu | 19.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.1% |
| No | 45.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dalian Zhixing win | 37.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 39.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 2-0 | 10.4% | |
| 2-1 | 9.9% |
Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu stats
Dalian Zhixing and Sichuan Jiuniu recent form
| Dalian Zhixing |
WWDWDL |
| Sichuan Jiuniu |
DDLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dalian Zhixing and Sichuan Jiuniu going into this match
Dalian Zhixing record
- They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sichuan Jiuniu record
- They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
1Dalian Zhixing wins
2Draws
0Sichuan Jiuniu wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | Sichuan Jiuniu | Dalian Zhixing | China Super League | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-14 | Dalian Zhixing | Sichuan Jiuniu | China Super League | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-26 | Sichuan Jiuniu | Dalian Zhixing | China Super League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.3%, draw 23.2%, away 20.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.68 | 4.20 | 4.72 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.30 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| Dafabet | 1.72 | 4.10 | 4.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.62 | 4.05 | 4.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62 | 4.39 | 4.99 |
| SBO | 1.60 | 3.47 | 3.81 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.90 | 4.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.62 ▼ -0.07
X
4.03 ▲ +0.04
2
4.57 ▲ +0.21
11 snapshots recorded, from .