Chengdu Better City
vs
Dalian Zhixing
Garuda Lions Prediction: Dalian Zhixing
0 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing
| Probability | Chengdu Better City | Draw | Dalian Zhixing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.4% | 28.1% | 42.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 29.4% | 28.1% | 42.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Dalian Zhixing
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing match preview
Chengdu Better City faces Dalian Zhixing in the China Super League with both teams showing contrasting recent form. Chengdu Better City has recorded a sequence of results with two wins and three losses in their last five matches, while Dalian Zhixing has performed better, achieving three wins and two draws in the same period. The model indicates a 32% probability of a Chengdu victory, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 40% likelihood of Dalian Zhixing winning.
In terms of expected goals, Chengdu Better City is projected to score 1.20, while Dalian Zhixing is forecasted to net 1.37. The most likely scoreline is 0-1 in favor of Dalian Zhixing, with a 9% probability. Additionally, there is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Chengdu Better City and Dalian Zhixing expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.67
Chengdu Better City and Dalian Zhixing attack and defence ratings
Chengdu Better City
Dalian Zhixing
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG
- Henan Jianye v Beijing Guoan — match page
- Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown
- Sichuan Jiuniu v Shanghai Shenhua — match page
- Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng — team news & stats
- Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun
- Chongqing Tongliang Long v Qingdao Jonoon — match page
Before and after this match
Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dalian Zhixing | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chengdu Better City | 29.4% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Dalian Zhixing | 42.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.0% |
| No | 45.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dalian Zhixing win | 21.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 57.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 0-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-2 | 9.0% |
Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing stats
Chengdu Better City and Dalian Zhixing recent form
| Chengdu Better City |
LDWLWL |
| Dalian Zhixing |
WWWDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chengdu Better City and Dalian Zhixing season so far
Chengdu Better City record
- They have won 15 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dalian Zhixing record
- They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Dalian Zhixing | Chengdu Better City | China Super League | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-08 | Dalian Zhixing | Chengdu Better City | China Super League | 0-2 |
| 2025-04-06 | Chengdu Better City | Dalian Zhixing | China Super League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.