China Super League
·
Full time
·Matchday 29
Qingdao Youth Island
vs
Yunnan Yukun
1 – 1 Full time
| 17′ | A. Yakubu | ||
| 69′ | Xu XinDuan Liuyu | ||
| 69′ | A. Ionita IIJ. Saeter | ||
| 70′ | Hu RuibaoZhao Yuhao | ||
| 70′ | X. Zhang | ||
| 72′ | O. Taty Maritu | ||
| 78′ | S. Memisevic | ||
| 82′ | X. ZhangXie Alexander | ||
| 82′ | Dong YuLiu Zhicheng | ||
| 90′ | Abdusalam BunyaminFei Ernanduo |
Qingdao Youth Island
41%
Draw
26%
Yunnan Yukun
33%
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 38 | Possession % | 62 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 6 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 7 |
| 187 | Accurate passes | 352 |
Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun
| Probability | Qingdao Youth Island | Draw | Yunnan Yukun |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.9% | 23.4% | 26.7% |
| Market | 37.9% | 26.4% | 35.7% |
| Final | 40.9% | 25.6% | 33.5% |
| Edge | +3.0% | -0.7% | -2.3% |
Why Qingdao Youth Island
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 1.44.
- The market prices Qingdao Youth Island below our published probability: +3.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
87%
3+ goals
67%
No goals
4%
Qingdao Youth Island and Yunnan Yukun expected goals
Qingdao Youth Island
2.01
Yunnan Yukun
1.44
Total expected goals: 3.46
Qingdao Youth Island and Yunnan Yukun attack and defence ratings
Qingdao Youth Island
Attack
0.73 -27%
Defence
0.84 -16%
Yunnan Yukun
Attack
1.24 +24%
Defence
1.53 +53%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun: result vs prediction
Qingdao Youth Island 1 – 1 Yunnan Yukun
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG
- Henan Jianye v Beijing Guoan — match page
- Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing — team news & stats
- Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown
- Sichuan Jiuniu v Shanghai Shenhua — match page
- Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng — team news & stats
- Chongqing Tongliang Long v Qingdao Jonoon — match page
Before and after this match
Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Qingdao Youth Island | 40.9% | 2.45 | +3.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Qingdao Youth Island | 40.9% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| Yunnan Yukun | 33.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.1% |
| No | 32.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Qingdao Youth Island win | 29.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 50.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 2-2 | 6.7% |
Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun stats
Qingdao Youth Island and Yunnan Yukun recent form
| Qingdao Youth Island |
LLDDWD |
| Yunnan Yukun |
DLWLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Qingdao Youth Island and Yunnan Yukun going into this match
Qingdao Youth Island record
- They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
Yunnan Yukun record
- They have won 11 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 28 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
1Qingdao Youth Island wins
1Draws
1Yunnan Yukun wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Yunnan Yukun | Qingdao Youth Island | China Super League | 2-3 |
| 2025-11-02 | Yunnan Yukun | Qingdao Youth Island | China Super League | 1-0 |
| 2025-06-14 | Qingdao Youth Island | Yunnan Yukun | China Super League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.1%, draw 26.3%, away 35.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.56 | 3.54 | 2.67 |
| Bet365 | 2.38 | 3.75 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.42 | 3.55 | 2.60 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.63 |
| Dafabet | 2.49 | 3.75 | 2.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.47 | 3.42 | 2.57 |
| Pinnacle | 2.48 | 3.52 | 2.64 |
| SBO | 2.26 | 3.16 | 2.37 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.47 ▼ -0.05
X
3.55 ▲ +0.10
2
2.62 —
8 snapshots recorded, from .