Qingdao Youth Island
vs
Yunnan Yukun
Garuda Lions Prediction: Qingdao Youth Island
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun
| Probability | Qingdao Youth Island | Draw | Yunnan Yukun |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.3% | 22.1% | 24.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 53.3% | 22.1% | 24.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Qingdao Youth Island
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 1.47.
Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun match preview
Qingdao Youth Island faces Yunnan Yukun in the China Super League, with kickoff set for October 24, 2026. According to our model, Qingdao Youth Island has a 54% probability of winning, while Yunnan Yukun stands at 24%, and a draw is at 21%. The expected goals are 2.30 for Qingdao Youth Island and 1.52 for Yunnan Yukun, suggesting a potentially high-scoring match, with a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 71% likelihood of both teams scoring.
In terms of recent form, Qingdao Youth Island has recorded a sequence of L-D-D-W-D-D, while Yunnan Yukun shows a more favorable trend with L-W-L-D-W-W. The last three encounters between the teams resulted in one win for each side and one draw, indicating a competitive matchup ahead. Our model predicts a most likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Qingdao Youth Island, with a confidence grade of C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Qingdao Youth Island and Yunnan Yukun expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.66
Qingdao Youth Island and Yunnan Yukun attack and defence ratings
Qingdao Youth Island
Yunnan Yukun
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG
- Henan Jianye v Beijing Guoan — match page
- Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing — team news & stats
- Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown
- Sichuan Jiuniu v Shanghai Shenhua — match page
- Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng — team news & stats
- Chongqing Tongliang Long v Qingdao Jonoon — match page
Before and after this match
Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Qingdao Youth Island | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Qingdao Youth Island | 53.3% |
| Draw | 22.1% | |
| Yunnan Yukun | 24.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.2% |
| No | 30.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Qingdao Youth Island win | 33.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 46.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 2-2 | 6.7% |
Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun stats
Qingdao Youth Island and Yunnan Yukun recent form
| Qingdao Youth Island |
LDDWDD |
| Yunnan Yukun |
DLWLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Qingdao Youth Island and Yunnan Yukun season so far
Qingdao Youth Island record
- They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
Yunnan Yukun record
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 27 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Yunnan Yukun | Qingdao Youth Island | China Super League | 2-3 |
| 2025-11-02 | Yunnan Yukun | Qingdao Youth Island | China Super League | 1-0 |
| 2025-06-14 | Qingdao Youth Island | Yunnan Yukun | China Super League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.