Beijing Guoan
vs
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1 – 0 Full time
Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
| Probability | Beijing Guoan | Draw | Chongqing Tongliang Long |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 66.6% | 21.8% | 11.6% |
| Market | 72.3% | 17.3% | 10.4% |
| Final | 70.9% | 18.5% | 10.7% |
| Edge | -1.4% | +1.1% | +0.3% |
Why Beijing Guoan
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 0.73.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Beijing Guoan and Chongqing Tongliang Long expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.75
Beijing Guoan and Chongqing Tongliang Long attack and defence ratings
Beijing Guoan
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long: result vs prediction
Beijing Guoan 1 – 0 Chongqing Tongliang Long
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
- Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Youth Island
- SHANGHAI SIPG v Shenyang Urban — match page
- Shandong Luneng vs Chengdu Better City — team news & stats
- Hangzhou Greentown vs Henan Jianye
- Qingdao Jonoon v Sichuan Jiuniu — match page
- Dalian Zhixing vs Tianjin Teda — team news & stats
- Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns
Before and after this match
Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Beijing Guoan | 70.9% | 1.41 | -1.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Beijing Guoan win | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Beijing Guoan | 70.9% |
| Draw | 18.5% | |
| Chongqing Tongliang Long | 10.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.8% |
| No | 54.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 29.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Beijing Guoan win | 42.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 33.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 13.0% |
| 1-0 | 12.0% | |
| 1-1 | 10.4% |
Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long stats
Beijing Guoan and Chongqing Tongliang Long recent form
| Beijing Guoan |
WWWDDD |
| Chongqing Tongliang Long |
WDDLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Beijing Guoan and Chongqing Tongliang Long going into this match
Beijing Guoan record
- They have won 14 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chongqing Tongliang Long record
- They have won 8 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | Beijing Guoan | China Super League | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 72.3%, draw 17.3%, away 10.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.30 | 5.73 | 9.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.30 | 5.25 | 9.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.25 | 5.50 | 9.00 |
| Betano | 1.30 | 5.30 | 8.25 |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 5.50 | 8.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.31 | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.27 | 5.30 | 9.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.29 | 5.65 | 9.35 |
| SBO | 1.25 | 4.72 | 6.28 |
| William Hill | 1.29 | 5.00 | 8.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .