Platense
vs
Alianza
2 – 2 Full time
Platense vs Alianza overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Platense vs Alianza
| Probability | Platense | Draw | Alianza |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.1% | 32.9% | 23.0% |
| Market | 31.6% | 30.3% | 38.1% |
| Final | 34.7% | 31.0% | 34.3% |
| Edge | +12.5% | +2.6% | -15.1% |
Why Platense
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.18 vs 0.78.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Platense below the model: +12.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Platense and Alianza expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.97
Platense and Alianza attack and defence ratings
Platense
Alianza
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Platense vs Alianza: result vs prediction
Platense 2 – 2 Alianza
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Before and after this match
Platense vs Alianza markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Platense | 34.7% | 2.88 | +12.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Platense | 34.7% |
| Draw | 31.0% | |
| Alianza | 34.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.9% |
| No | 61.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Platense win | 19.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 55.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.3% |
| 1-0 | 15.3% | |
| 1-1 | 14.3% |
Platense vs Alianza stats
Platense and Alianza recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Platense and Alianza going into this match
Platense record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Alianza record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Platense vs Alianza head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | Alianza | Platense | Primera Division | 3-3 |
| 2026-02-01 | Platense | Alianza | Primera Division | 0-2 |
| 2025-10-05 | Alianza | Platense | Primera Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-03 | Platense | Alianza | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-27 | Alianza | Platense | Primera Division | 1-0 |
| 2025-01-30 | Platense | Alianza | Primera Division | 1-0 |
| 2024-11-30 | Alianza | Platense | Primera Division | 2-0 |
| 2024-09-22 | Platense | Alianza | Primera Division | 0-2 |
| 2024-04-21 | Platense | Alianza | Primera Division | 0-2 |
| 2024-02-18 | Alianza | Platense | Primera Division | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Platense vs Alianza odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.6%, draw 30.3%, away 38.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| 1xBet | 2.96 | 2.93 | 2.37 |
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 3.10 | 2.35 |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 2.80 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 2.87 | 3.00 | 2.45 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.38 |
| Dafabet | 2.90 | 3.05 | 2.46 |
| Marathonbet | 2.89 | 2.93 | 2.35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.92 | 3.03 | 2.39 |
| Superbet | 2.87 | 3.00 | 2.45 |
| Unibet | 3.20 | 2.95 | 2.16 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 2.80 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .