Primera Division · Full time ·Apertura - 7

Platense vs Inter

0 – 3 Full time

Platense 26%
Draw 32%
Inter 42%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Platense vs Inter overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Platense vs Inter

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPlatenseDrawInter
Model26.2%32.0%41.8%
Market———
Final26.2%32.0%41.8%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Inter

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.21 vs 0.91.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Platense ↓ / Inter → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 13% 9% 1 10% 15% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 64%
3+ goals 35%
No goals 13%

Platense and Inter expected goals

Platense 0.91
Inter 1.21

Total expected goals: 2.11

Platense and Inter attack and defence ratings

Platense

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Inter

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.73 -27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Platense vs Inter: result vs prediction

Platense 0 – 3 Inter

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 7 fixtures

Primera Division

Before and after this match

Platense vs Inter markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Inter 41.8% 2.39 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.6% 1.55 — —
Both teams to score No 56.9% 1.76 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 73.8% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.3% 1.72 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Platense26.2%
Draw32.0%
Inter41.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535.4%
Under 2.564.6%
Both teams to scoreYes43.1%
No56.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)58.2%
12 (either side)68.0%
X2 (draw or away)73.8%
Handicap -1Inter win18.8%
Push (exactly one goal)22.9%
Loss58.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.5%
0-013.4%
0-113.3%

Platense vs Inter stats

Platense and Inter recent form

newest first
Platense DLWWDD
Inter WWWDDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Platense and Inter going into this match

league record before kick-off

Platense record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.

Inter record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Platense vs Inter head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

0Platense wins 4Draws 0Inter wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-01PlatenseInterPrimera Division0-0
2026-02-05InterPlatensePrimera Division0-0
2025-10-12PlatenseInterPrimera Division2-2
2025-08-09InterPlatensePrimera Division2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Platense vs Inter odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.