Primera Division
·
Full time
·Apertura - 7
Inca Aruba
vs
Cacahuatique
1 – 1 Full time
Inca Aruba
18%
Draw
26%
Cacahuatique
56%
Inca Aruba vs Cacahuatique overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Inca Aruba vs Cacahuatique
| Probability | Inca Aruba | Draw | Cacahuatique |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.3% | 25.6% | 56.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 18.3% | 25.6% | 56.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Cacahuatique
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 0.92.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
76%
3+ goals
50%
No goals
8%
Inca Aruba and Cacahuatique expected goals
Inca Aruba
0.92
Cacahuatique
1.75
Total expected goals: 2.67
Inca Aruba and Cacahuatique attack and defence ratings
Inca Aruba
Attack
0.59 -41%
Defence
1.48 +48%
Cacahuatique
Attack
0.92 -8%
Defence
1.14 +14%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Inca Aruba vs Cacahuatique: result vs prediction
Inca Aruba 1 – 1 Cacahuatique
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Inca Aruba vs Cacahuatique markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cacahuatique | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inca Aruba | 18.3% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| Cacahuatique | 56.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.8% |
| No | 49.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 43.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 81.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cacahuatique win | 32.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 44.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.2% |
| 0-1 | 11.0% | |
| 0-2 | 10.6% |
Inca Aruba vs Cacahuatique stats
Inca Aruba and Cacahuatique recent form
| Inca Aruba |
LDLLLL |
| Cacahuatique |
LDDDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Inca Aruba and Cacahuatique going into this match
Inca Aruba record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
Cacahuatique record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.