Águila
vs
Fuerte San Francisco
4 – 1 Full time
| 19′ | C. Martinez | ||
| 45′ | F. Andrada | ||
| 48′ | F. Andrada | ||
| 68′ | F. Andrada | ||
| 90′ | B. Amaya |
Águila vs Fuerte San Francisco overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Águila vs Fuerte San Francisco
| Probability | Águila | Draw | Fuerte San Francisco |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.0% | 33.9% | 28.0% |
| Market | 56.1% | 26.2% | 17.7% |
| Final | 51.6% | 28.1% | 20.3% |
| Edge | -18.1% | +7.7% | +10.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Águila and Fuerte San Francisco expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.94
Águila and Fuerte San Francisco attack and defence ratings
Águila
Fuerte San Francisco
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Águila vs Fuerte San Francisco: result vs prediction
Águila 4 – 1 Fuerte San Francisco
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Águila vs Fuerte San Francisco markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Águila | 51.6% | 1.94 | -18.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Águila | 51.6% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Fuerte San Francisco | 20.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 30.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 69.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.5% |
| No | 60.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Águila win | 15.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 62.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.8% |
| 1-1 | 14.7% | |
| 1-0 | 14.0% |
Águila vs Fuerte San Francisco stats
Águila and Fuerte San Francisco recent form
| Águila |
LLLDDD |
| Fuerte San Francisco |
LWDDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Águila and Fuerte San Francisco going into this match
Águila record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
Fuerte San Francisco record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
Águila vs Fuerte San Francisco head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | Águila | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2026-02-26 | Fuerte San Francisco | Águila | Copa Presidente | 0-1 |
| 2026-02-04 | Fuerte San Francisco | Águila | Primera Division | 2-3 |
| 2025-10-29 | Águila | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 3-3 |
| 2025-08-10 | Fuerte San Francisco | Águila | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-17 | Águila | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 3-0 |
| 2025-02-23 | Fuerte San Francisco | Águila | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-07 | Fuerte San Francisco | Águila | Primera Division | 1-2 |
| 2024-07-31 | Águila | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 1-0 |
| 2024-03-24 | Fuerte San Francisco | Águila | Primera Division | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Águila vs Fuerte San Francisco odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.1%, draw 26.2%, away 17.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.62 | 3.40 | 5.25 |
| 1xBet | 1.61 | 3.42 | 5.34 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 3.50 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 3.13 | 4.40 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 3.50 | 5.10 |
| Betfair | 1.55 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.64 | 3.55 | 5.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.59 | 3.42 | 5.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65 | 3.41 | 5.16 |
| Superbet | 1.63 | 3.55 | 5.00 |
| Unibet | 1.56 | 3.55 | 5.20 |
| William Hill | 1.65 | 3.40 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .