FAS
vs
Águila
1 – 0 Full time
FAS vs Águila overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FAS vs Águila
| Probability | FAS | Draw | Águila |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.6% | 25.4% | 17.1% |
| Market | 46.0% | 28.4% | 25.5% |
| Final | 48.9% | 27.7% | 23.4% |
| Edge | +11.5% | -3.1% | -8.5% |
Why FAS
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices FAS below the model: +11.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FAS and Águila expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.64
FAS and Águila attack and defence ratings
FAS
Águila
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FAS vs Águila: result vs prediction
FAS 1 – 0 Águila
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
FAS vs Águila markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FAS | 48.9% | 2.04 | +11.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FAS | 48.9% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Águila | 23.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.3% |
| No | 50.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | FAS win | 33.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 42.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 1-0 | 11.5% | |
| 2-0 | 11.2% |
FAS vs Águila stats
FAS and Águila recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FAS and Águila going into this match
FAS record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
Águila record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
FAS vs Águila head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Águila | FAS | Primera Division | 0-3 |
| 2026-03-29 | Águila | FAS | Primera Division | 3-0 |
| 2026-02-01 | FAS | Águila | Primera Division | 3-0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Águila | FAS | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-03 | FAS | Águila | Primera Division | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FAS vs Águila odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.3%, draw 28.2%, away 25.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.30 | 3.80 |
| 1xBet | 1.99 | 3.15 | 3.56 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.97 | 3.30 | 3.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.97 | 3.15 | 3.48 |
| Pinnacle | 2.01 | 3.19 | 3.55 |
| Superbet | 1.97 | 3.25 | 3.65 |
| Unibet | 2.06 | 3.05 | 3.25 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.00 | 3.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .