Garuda Lions
Today
Primera Division · Full time ·Apertura - 7

FAS vs Firpo

3 – 1 Full time

5′Yan Maciel
33′E. Medrano
42′E. Medrano
79′V. Garcia
FAS 37%
Draw 32%
Firpo 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

FAS vs Firpo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FAS vs Firpo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFASDrawFirpo
Model31.7%35.3%33.0%
Market39.4%30.3%30.3%
Final37.5%31.5%31.0%
Edge-7.7%+5.0%+2.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FAS ↓ / Firpo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 18% 14% 1 13% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 82%
2+ goals 56%
3+ goals 28%
No goals 18%

FAS and Firpo expected goals

FAS 0.90
Firpo 0.92

Total expected goals: 1.82

FAS and Firpo attack and defence ratings

FAS

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 0.71 -29%

Firpo

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 0.58 -42%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FAS vs Firpo: result vs prediction

FAS 3 – 1 Firpo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 7 fixtures

Primera Division

Before and after this match

FAS vs Firpo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FAS 37.5% 2.67 -7.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 72.4% 1.38 — —
Both teams to score No 62.9% 1.59 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 69.0% 1.45 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 68.1% 1.47 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FAS37.5%
Draw31.5%
Firpo31.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.527.6%
Under 2.572.4%
Both teams to scoreYes37.1%
No62.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.0%
12 (either side)68.5%
X2 (draw or away)62.5%
Handicap -1FAS win11.7%
Push (exactly one goal)20.2%
Loss68.1%
Correct score (top 3)0-017.5%
1-114.8%
0-113.6%

FAS vs Firpo stats

FAS and Firpo recent form

newest first
FAS WLDWLW
Firpo WDWWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FAS and Firpo going into this match

league record before kick-off

FAS record

  • They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).

Firpo record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.

FAS vs Firpo head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4FAS wins 2Draws 4Firpo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-26FirpoFASPrimera Division1-1
2026-03-01FASFirpoPrimera Division2-0
2025-11-09FirpoFASPrimera Division3-1
2025-09-08FASFirpoPrimera Division2-3
2025-03-27FirpoFASPrimera Division1-2
2025-01-30FASFirpoPrimera Division0-3
2024-11-30FirpoFASPrimera Division1-1
2024-09-22FASFirpoPrimera Division4-1
2024-03-31FASFirpoPrimera Division0-4
2024-01-21FirpoFASPrimera Division1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FAS vs Firpo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.4%, draw 30.3%, away 30.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.38 2.95 3.00
1xBet 2.31 2.96 3.02
Bet365 2.20 3.20 3.00
BetVictor 2.10 2.80 2.70
Betano 2.37 3.00 3.00
Betfair 2.30 3.00 2.90
Dafabet 2.37 3.10 3.00
Marathonbet 2.29 2.96 2.95
Pinnacle 2.34 3.04 2.98
Superbet 2.37 3.00 3.00
Unibet 2.20 3.05 3.00
William Hill 2.30 2.88 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.30 ▲ +0.25
X 3.00 ▼ -0.20
2 3.00 ▼ -0.30

5 snapshots recorded, from .