Firpo
vs
Platense
1 – 0 Full time
Firpo vs Platense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Firpo vs Platense
| Probability | Firpo | Draw | Platense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.1% | 34.4% | 23.4% |
| Market | 60.9% | 24.0% | 15.1% |
| Final | 56.2% | 26.6% | 17.2% |
| Edge | -18.8% | +10.5% | +8.3% |
Why Firpo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.09 vs 0.74.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Firpo and Platense expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.83
Firpo and Platense attack and defence ratings
Firpo
Platense
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Firpo vs Platense: result vs prediction
Firpo 1 – 0 Platense
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Firpo vs Platense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Firpo | 56.2% | 1.78 | -18.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Firpo | 56.2% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Platense | 17.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 72.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.0% |
| No | 64.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Firpo win | 18.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 57.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.3% |
| 1-0 | 16.2% | |
| 1-1 | 14.2% |
Firpo vs Platense stats
Firpo and Platense recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Firpo and Platense going into this match
Firpo record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Platense record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Firpo vs Platense head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Platense | Firpo | Primera Division | 0-1 |
| 2026-02-15 | Firpo | Platense | Primera Division | 3-1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Firpo | Platense | Primera Division | 6-2 |
| 2025-11-23 | Platense | Firpo | Primera Division | 0-2 |
| 2025-10-26 | Platense | Firpo | Primera Division | 1-3 |
| 2025-08-24 | Firpo | Platense | Primera Division | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Firpo vs Platense odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.9%, draw 24.0%, away 15.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.48 | 3.80 | 6.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.46 | 3.78 | 6.57 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 3.75 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.52 | 3.95 | 5.60 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.51 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.45 | 3.78 | 6.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.52 | 3.80 | 5.93 |
| Superbet | 1.51 | 3.90 | 5.60 |
| Unibet | 1.47 | 3.70 | 6.00 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 3.50 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .