Isidro Metapán
vs
Alianza
2 – 0 Full time
Isidro Metapán vs Alianza overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Isidro Metapán vs Alianza
| Probability | Isidro Metapán | Draw | Alianza |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.8% | 31.2% | 30.0% |
| Market | 42.2% | 30.1% | 27.7% |
| Final | 41.4% | 30.4% | 28.3% |
| Edge | -3.5% | +1.2% | +2.3% |
Why Isidro Metapán
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Isidro Metapán and Alianza expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.25
Isidro Metapán and Alianza attack and defence ratings
Isidro Metapán
Alianza
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Isidro Metapán vs Alianza: result vs prediction
Isidro Metapán 2 – 0 Alianza
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Isidro Metapán vs Alianza markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Isidro Metapán | 41.4% | 2.42 | -3.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Isidro Metapán | 41.4% |
| Draw | 30.4% | |
| Alianza | 28.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.7% |
| No | 53.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Isidro Metapán win | 17.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 61.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 11.9% | |
| 1-0 | 11.5% |
Isidro Metapán vs Alianza stats
Isidro Metapán and Alianza recent form
| Isidro Metapán |
LWDWWD |
| Alianza |
DLWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Isidro Metapán and Alianza going into this match
Isidro Metapán record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Alianza record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Isidro Metapán vs Alianza head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | Isidro Metapán | Alianza | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Alianza | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-12 | Isidro Metapán | Alianza | Primera Division | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Alianza | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Isidro Metapán vs Alianza odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.2%, draw 30.0%, away 27.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.20 |
| 1xBet | 2.15 | 3.02 | 3.28 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 2.80 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.05 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.25 |
| Dafabet | 2.21 | 3.05 | 3.35 |
| Marathonbet | 2.13 | 3.02 | 3.20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.20 | 2.98 | 3.31 |
| Superbet | 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.30 |
| Unibet | 2.06 | 2.95 | 3.30 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 2.80 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .