Municipal Limeño
vs
Isidro Metapán
3 – 1 Full time
Municipal Limeño vs Isidro Metapán overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Municipal Limeño vs Isidro Metapán
| Probability | Municipal Limeño | Draw | Isidro Metapán |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.3% | 30.9% | 37.8% |
| Market | 40.2% | 28.2% | 31.6% |
| Final | 38.0% | 28.9% | 33.1% |
| Edge | -8.9% | +2.7% | +6.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Municipal Limeño and Isidro Metapán expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.31
Municipal Limeño and Isidro Metapán attack and defence ratings
Municipal Limeño
Isidro Metapán
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Municipal Limeño vs Isidro Metapán: result vs prediction
Municipal Limeño 3 – 1 Isidro Metapán
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Municipal Limeño vs Isidro Metapán markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Municipal Limeño | 38.0% | 2.63 | -8.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Municipal Limeño | 38.0% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Isidro Metapán | 33.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.1% |
| No | 51.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Municipal Limeño win | 12.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 68.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 11.2% | |
| 0-1 | 10.8% |
Municipal Limeño vs Isidro Metapán stats
Municipal Limeño and Isidro Metapán recent form
| WLLDWL | |
| WLWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Municipal Limeño and Isidro Metapán going into this match
Municipal Limeño record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
Isidro Metapán record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Municipal Limeño vs Isidro Metapán head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Isidro Metapán | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 1-0 |
| 2026-01-25 | Municipal Limeño | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Isidro Metapán | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 3-2 |
| 2025-08-28 | Municipal Limeño | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-11 | Isidro Metapán | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-08 | Municipal Limeño | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-03-27 | Isidro Metapán | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2025-01-31 | Municipal Limeño | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2024-10-27 | Isidro Metapán | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 0-3 |
| 2024-08-25 | Municipal Limeño | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Municipal Limeño vs Isidro Metapán odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.2%, draw 28.2%, away 31.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.25 | 3.25 | 2.85 |
| 1xBet | 2.27 | 3.18 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.95 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.31 | 3.25 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.25 | 3.18 | 2.82 |
| Superbet | 2.30 | 3.25 | 2.90 |
| Unibet | 2.25 | 3.10 | 2.85 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .