Atletico Balboa
vs
Municipal Limeño
0 – 2 Full time
| 72′ | Wilma Torres | ||
| 89′ | G. Mayen | ||
| 90′ | J. Benitez |
Atletico Balboa vs Municipal Limeño overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Balboa vs Municipal Limeño
| Probability | Atletico Balboa | Draw | Municipal Limeño |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.2% | 28.9% | 37.9% |
| Market | 32.3% | 30.5% | 37.1% |
| Final | 32.5% | 30.1% | 37.3% |
| Edge | +0.9% | -1.7% | +0.7% |
Why Municipal Limeño
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atletico Balboa and Municipal Limeño expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.60
Atletico Balboa and Municipal Limeño attack and defence ratings
Atletico Balboa
Municipal Limeño
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Atletico Balboa vs Municipal Limeño: result vs prediction
Atletico Balboa 0 – 2 Municipal Limeño
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atletico Balboa vs Municipal Limeño markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Municipal Limeño | 37.3% | 2.68 | +0.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Balboa | 32.5% |
| Draw | 30.1% | |
| Municipal Limeño | 37.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.0% |
| No | 46.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Municipal Limeño win | 17.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 62.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-1 | 8.8% | |
| 0-0 | 8.7% |
Atletico Balboa vs Municipal Limeño stats
Atletico Balboa and Municipal Limeño recent form
| Atletico Balboa |
LWWDDL |
| Municipal Limeño |
WWLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atletico Balboa and Municipal Limeño going into this match
Atletico Balboa record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
Municipal Limeño record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
Atletico Balboa vs Municipal Limeño head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Atletico Balboa vs Municipal Limeño odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.3%, draw 30.5%, away 37.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.76 | 2.93 | 2.44 |
| Bet365 | 2.80 | 3.20 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 2.80 | 2.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.76 | 2.93 | 2.44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.78 | 2.96 | 2.54 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 2.90 | 2.38 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .