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Primera Division · Full time ·Apertura - 9

Municipal Limeño vs Águila

0 – 0 Full time

77′S. Davila
77′S. Davila
Municipal Limeño 38%
Draw 29%
Águila 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Municipal Limeño vs Águila overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Municipal Limeño vs Águila

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMunicipal LimeñoDrawÁguila
Model46.1%26.8%27.1%
Market34.6%30.0%35.3%
Final37.5%29.2%33.3%
Edge+11.4%-3.2%-8.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Municipal Limeño

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 1.20.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Municipal Limeño below the model: +11.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Municipal Lime ↓ / Águila → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 8% 13% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Municipal Limeño and Águila expected goals

Municipal Limeño 1.62
Águila 1.20

Total expected goals: 2.83

Municipal Limeño and Águila attack and defence ratings

Municipal Limeño

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Águila

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Municipal Limeño vs Águila: result vs prediction

Municipal Limeño 0 – 0 Águila

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 9 fixtures

Primera Division

Before and after this match

Municipal Limeño vs Águila markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Municipal Limeño 37.5% 2.67 +11.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.7% 1.86 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.3% 1.74 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.8% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.0% 1.85 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Municipal Limeño37.5%
Draw29.2%
Águila33.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.7%
Under 2.546.3%
Both teams to scoreYes57.3%
No42.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.7%
12 (either side)70.8%
X2 (draw or away)62.5%
Handicap -1Municipal Limeño win24.5%
Push (exactly one goal)21.4%
Loss54.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.7%
2-19.4%
1-08.5%

Municipal Limeño vs Águila stats

Municipal Limeño and Águila recent form

newest first
Municipal Limeño WWWLLD
Águila DWLLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Municipal Limeño and Águila going into this match

league record before kick-off

Municipal Limeño record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.

Águila record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.

Municipal Limeño vs Águila head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Municipal Limeño wins 0Draws 8Águila wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-05Municipal LimeñoÁguilaPrimera Division2-0
2026-02-08ÁguilaMunicipal LimeñoPrimera Division1-0
2025-10-19Municipal LimeñoÁguilaPrimera Division1-2
2025-08-17ÁguilaMunicipal LimeñoPrimera Division2-1
2025-05-03Municipal LimeñoÁguilaPrimera Division0-2
2025-03-09ÁguilaMunicipal LimeñoPrimera Division0-2
2024-11-25Municipal LimeñoÁguilaPrimera Division0-2
2024-09-19ÁguilaMunicipal LimeñoPrimera Division3-1
2024-04-07Municipal LimeñoÁguilaPrimera Division0-1
2024-01-28ÁguilaMunicipal LimeñoPrimera Division1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Municipal Limeño vs Águila odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.6%, draw 30.0%, away 35.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.60 3.00 2.60
1xBet 2.58 3.14 2.46
Bet365 2.50 3.25 2.40
BetVictor 2.40 2.88 2.30
Betano 2.70 3.00 2.60
Betfair 2.60 3.10 2.50
Dafabet 2.70 3.00 2.65
Marathonbet 2.58 3.14 2.46
Pinnacle 2.70 2.92 2.64
Superbet 2.72 3.00 2.60
Unibet 2.75 3.05 2.35
William Hill 2.50 2.90 2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.60 ▼ -0.10
X 3.00 ▼ -0.10
2 2.55 ▲ +0.05

4 snapshots recorded, from .