Fuerte San Francisco
vs
Municipal Limeño
0 – 2 Full time
| 4′ | J. C. Argueta | ||
| 74′ | J. C. Argueta |
Fuerte San Francisco vs Municipal Limeño overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fuerte San Francisco vs Municipal Limeño
| Probability | Fuerte San Francisco | Draw | Municipal Limeño |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.8% | 30.0% | 53.3% |
| Market | 22.1% | 27.4% | 50.6% |
| Final | 20.7% | 28.0% | 51.2% |
| Edge | -5.3% | +2.6% | +2.7% |
Why Municipal Limeño
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 0.67.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Municipal Limeño below the model: +2.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fuerte San Francisco and Municipal Limeño expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.07
Fuerte San Francisco and Municipal Limeño attack and defence ratings
Fuerte San Francisco
Municipal Limeño
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fuerte San Francisco vs Municipal Limeño: result vs prediction
Fuerte San Francisco 0 – 2 Municipal Limeño
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fuerte San Francisco vs Municipal Limeño markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Municipal Limeño | 51.2% | 1.95 | +2.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fuerte San Francisco | 20.7% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Municipal Limeño | 51.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.9% |
| No | 62.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 48.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Municipal Limeño win | 27.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.2% | |
| Loss | 46.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 16.5% |
| 0-0 | 13.9% | |
| 1-1 | 13.0% |
Fuerte San Francisco vs Municipal Limeño stats
Fuerte San Francisco and Municipal Limeño recent form
| Fuerte San Francisco |
LLLWDD |
| Municipal Limeño |
DWWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fuerte San Francisco and Municipal Limeño going into this match
Fuerte San Francisco record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
Municipal Limeño record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Fuerte San Francisco vs Municipal Limeño head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Fuerte San Francisco | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 0-2 |
| 2026-02-14 | Municipal Limeño | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 5-0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Fuerte San Francisco | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-24 | Municipal Limeño | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-03-24 | Municipal Limeño | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 1-2 |
| 2025-01-26 | Fuerte San Francisco | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2024-10-20 | Municipal Limeño | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 4-0 |
| 2024-08-18 | Fuerte San Francisco | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 0-1 |
| 2024-05-01 | Fuerte San Francisco | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 1-2 |
| 2024-03-07 | Municipal Limeño | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Fuerte San Francisco vs Municipal Limeño odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 22.1%, draw 27.4%, away 50.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.13 | 3.30 | 1.80 |
| Bet365 | 4.20 | 3.30 | 1.73 |
| BetVictor | 3.75 | 3.00 | 1.67 |
| Betano | 4.05 | 3.25 | 1.87 |
| Betfair | 4.40 | 3.30 | 1.73 |
| Marathonbet | 4.05 | 3.30 | 1.78 |
| Pinnacle | 4.18 | 3.40 | 1.79 |
| William Hill | 4.00 | 3.10 | 1.83 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .