Alianza
vs
Municipal Limeño
3 – 2 Full time
| 3′ | N. A. Rodriguez Arias | ||
| 23′ | Wilma Torres | ||
| 56′ | N. A. Rodriguez Arias | ||
| 58′ | A. Rodriguez | ||
| 59′ | G. Moura | ||
| 90′ | W. Parra |
Alianza vs Municipal Limeño overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Alianza vs Municipal Limeño
| Probability | Alianza | Draw | Municipal Limeño |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.5% | 30.0% | 45.6% |
| Market | 41.8% | 28.7% | 29.5% |
| Final | 37.4% | 29.0% | 33.5% |
| Edge | -17.3% | +1.2% | +16.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Alianza and Municipal Limeño expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.32
Alianza and Municipal Limeño attack and defence ratings
Alianza
Municipal Limeño
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Alianza vs Municipal Limeño: result vs prediction
Alianza 3 – 2 Municipal Limeño
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Alianza vs Municipal Limeño markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alianza | 37.4% | 2.67 | -17.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alianza | 37.4% |
| Draw | 29.0% | |
| Municipal Limeño | 33.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.9% |
| No | 53.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Alianza win | 9.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.5% | |
| Loss | 75.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 0-1 | 12.3% | |
| 0-0 | 11.1% |
Alianza vs Municipal Limeño stats
Alianza and Municipal Limeño recent form
| Alianza |
DWDLDL |
| Municipal Limeño |
WDWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Alianza and Municipal Limeño going into this match
Alianza record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Municipal Limeño record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Alianza vs Municipal Limeño head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Municipal Limeño | Alianza | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Alianza | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Alianza | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 3-0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Municipal Limeño | Alianza | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Municipal Limeño | Alianza | Primera Division | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-04 | Alianza | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 3-1 |
| 2025-05-25 | Municipal Limeño | Alianza | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2025-03-16 | Alianza | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2025-01-19 | Municipal Limeño | Alianza | Primera Division | 1-4 |
| 2024-09-30 | Municipal Limeño | Alianza | Primera Division | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Alianza vs Municipal Limeño odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.8%, draw 28.7%, away 29.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.16 | 3.12 | 3.07 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 2.88 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.15 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.14 | 3.12 | 2.99 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .